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Bayesian inference is often implemented using approximations, which can yield interval estimates that are too narrow, not fully capturing the uncertainty in the posterior distribution. We address the question of how to adjust these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Tiffany Cai , Philip Greengard , Ben Goodrich , Andrew Gelman

Computing the similarity between two probability distributions is a recurring theme across control. We introduce a unified family of distances between the probability distributions of two random variables that is based on the discrepancy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-03 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Arec Jamgochian , Nazim Kemal Ure , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stephen P. Boyd

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

Non-uniform estimates are obtained for Poisson, compound Poisson, translated Poisson, negative binomial and binomial approximations to sums of of m-dependent integer-valued random variables. Estimates for Wasserstein metric also follow…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy , V. Cekanavicius

Errors of approximations of the quasi-stationary distribution (the QSD) of the logistic SIS model are evaluated numerically. The results are used to derive asymptotic approximations of the approximation errors for large populations. We show…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-27 Ingemar Nåsell

A common heuristic in semi-supervised deep learning (SSDL) is to select unlabelled data based on a notion of semantic similarity to the labelled data. For example, labelled images of numbers should be paired with unlabelled images of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Saul Calderon-Ramirez , Luis Oala

Distance measures are part and parcel of many computer vision algorithms. The underlying assumption in all existing distance measures is that feature elements are independent and identically distributed. However, in real-world settings,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Muthukaruppan Swaminathan , Pankaj Kumar Yadav , Obdulio Piloto , Tobias Sjöblom , Ian Cheong

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In this paper we present an alternative representation of the Negative Binomial--Lindley distribution recently proposed by Zamani and Ismail (2010) which shows some advantages over the latter model. This new formulation provides a tractable…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Emilio Gomez-Deniz , Enrique Calderin-Ojeda

Combining p-values from multiple independent tests is a fundamental task in statistical inference, but presents unique challenges when the p-values are discrete. We extend a recent optimal transport-based framework for combining discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Gonzalo Contador , Zheyang Wu

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

In this paper we develop proximal methods for statistical learning. Proximal point algorithms are useful in statistics and machine learning for obtaining optimization solutions for composite functions. Our approach exploits closed-form…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Brandon T. Willard

Consider the collection of all binary matrices having a specific sequence of row and column sums and consider sampling binary matrices uniformly from this collection. Practical algorithms for exact uniform sampling are not known, but there…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-01-28 Matthew T. Harrison

We consider time-dependent dynamical systems arising as sequential compositions of self-maps of a probability space. We establish conditions under which the Birkhoff sums for multivariate observations, given a centering and a general…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-10-28 Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

In this work, we propose a new local optimization method to solve a class of nonconvex semidefinite programming (SDP) problems. The basic idea is to approximate the feasible set of the nonconvex SDP problem by inner positive semidefinite…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-02-27 Quoc Tran Dinh , Wim Michiels , Moritz Diehl

This paper deals with the Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of the max statistic in high dimensions. This statistic takes the form of the maximum over components of the sum of independent random vectors and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-31 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato , Yuta Koike