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An information theory description of finite systems explicitly evolving in time is presented for classical as well as quantum mechanics. We impose a variational principle on the Shannon entropy at a given time while the constraints are set…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Philippe Chomaz , Francesca Gulminelli , Olivier Juillet

Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probabilistic in nature, with the predictions taking the form of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-10-26 Petra Friederichs , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

We consider a sequence of random Hamiltonians $H_n(h,\sigma)=\sum^n_{i=1}h_i(\sigma_i-m)$, and study the asymptotic ($n\to \infty$) distribution of the energy levels $(H_n(h,\sigma))_{\sigma\in \{-1,1\}^n}$, where $h_1,h_2,\cdots$ are…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Francesco Concetti , Simone Franchini

Variational autoencoders (VAE) often use Gaussian or category distribution to model the inference process. This puts a limit on variational learning because this simplified assumption does not match the true posterior distribution, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Ke Sun , Xiangliang Zhang

In the classical theorems of extreme value theory the limits of suitably rescaled maxima of sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables are studied. So far, only affine rescalings have been considered. We show,…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Iván Calvo , Juan C. Cuchí , José G. Esteve , Fernando Falceto

Let $X_1$, $X_2$,... be a sequence of independent random variables with common distribution function $F$ in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel extreme value distribution and for each integer $n\geq 1$, let $X_{1,n} \leq ... X_{n,n}$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Gane Samb Lo

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

In this paper, higher-order expansions for distributions and densities of powered extremes of standard normal random sequences are established under an optimal choice of normalized constants. Our findings refine the related results in Hall…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-05 Wei Zhou , Chengxiu Ling

We present a new class of estimators of Shannon entropy for severely undersampled discrete distributions. It is based on a generalization of an estimator proposed by T. Schuermann, which itself is a generalization of an estimator proposed…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Peter Grassberger

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

Recently, Verma et al. (2025) introduced a novel generalized class of Kavya-Manoharan distributions, which have demonstrated significant utility in reliability analysis and the modeling of lifetime data. This paper proposes an extension of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Lazhar Benkhelifa

The distribution of matter in the universe is, to first order, lognormal. Improving this approximation requires characterization of the third moment (skewness) of the log density field. Thus, using Millennium Simulation phenomenology and…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-08-02 Andrew Repp , István Szapudi

It has been shown that sufficiently well mixing dynamical systems with positive entropy have extreme value laws which in the limit converge to one of the three standard distributions known for i.i.d. processes, namely Gumbel, Fr\'echet and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-05 Nicolai Haydn , Michal Kupsa

This paper introduces nonparametric econometric methods that characterize general power law distributions under basic stability conditions. These methods extend the literature on power laws in the social sciences in several directions.…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-06-07 Ricardo T. Fernholz

We present a generic and powerful approach to study the statistics of extreme phenomena (meteorology, finance, biology...) that we apply to the statistical estimation of the tail of the distribution of earthquake sizes. The chief innovation…

地球物理 · 物理学 2008-05-13 V. F. Pisarenko , A. Sornette , D. Sornette , M. V. Rodkin

According to many phenomenological and theoretical studies the distribution of family name frequencies in a population can be asymptotically described by a power law. We show that the Galton-Watson process corresponding to the dynamics of a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-07-19 Andrea De Luca , Paolo Rossi

Superstatistics describes statistical systems that behave like superpositions of different inverse temperatures $\beta$, so that the probability distribution is $p(\epsilon_i) \propto \int_{0}^{\infty} f(\beta) e^{-\beta \epsilon_i}d\beta$,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-10-03 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner , Murray Gell-Mann

We consider some further generalizations of the novel random graph models as introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Sen \cite{BaSe2025} and find asymptotic for the degree of a fixed vertex and along with the asymptotic degree distribution. We show…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-16 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Kunal Joshi

We propose a generalized entropy maximization procedure, which takes into account the generalized averaging procedures and information gain definitions underlying the generalized entropies. This novel generalized procedure is then applied…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 G. Baris Bagci , Ugur Tirnakli

Max stable laws are limit laws of linearly normalized partial maxima of indepen- dent, identically distributed (iid) random variables (rvs). These are analogous to stable laws which are limit laws of normalized partial sums of iid rvs. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-25 Sreenivasan Ravi , Ali Saeb