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This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

The scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is regarded as one of the paradigmatic random processes, featuring the anomalous diffusion property characterized by the diffusion exponent. It is a Gaussian, self-similar process with independent…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-29 Hubert Woszczek , Aleksei Chechkin , Agnieszka Wylomanska

Recent rapid advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques resulted in an unprecedented abundance of diffusion data exhibiting complex behaviours, such the presence of power law tails of the msd and memory functions,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-10-08 Jakub Ślęzak

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

Our investigation is specially motivated by the stochastic version of a common model of potential spread in a dendritic tree. We do not assume the noise in the junction points to be Markovian. In fact, we allow for long-range dependence in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-21 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Delio Mugnolo

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

Volatility of intra-day stock market indices computed at various time horizons exhibits a scaling behaviour that differs from what would be expected from fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We investigate this anomalous scaling by using…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-17 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-02-03 Viktor Stojkoski , Trifce Sandev , Lasko Basnarkov , Ljupco Kocarev , Ralf Metzler

Brownian motion (BM) is pivotal in natural science for the stochastic motion of microscopic droplets. In this study, we investigate BM driven by thermal composition noise at sub-micro scales, where inter-molecular diffusion and surface…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-02-26 Haodong Zhang , Fei Wang , Lorenz Ratke , Britta Nestler

Motivated by the anomalous diffusion observed in clusters of active Brownian particles (ABPs), where the center-of-mass diffusion coefficient scales as $D\sim N^{-1/2}$ with respect to the number $N$ of particles in the cluster, we derive a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-07 Daniela Moretti , Pasquale Digregorio , Giuseppe Gonnella , Antonio Suma

In exponential population growth, variability in the timing of individual division events and environmental factors (including stochastic inoculation) compound to produce variable growth trajectories. In several stochastic models of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-12-25 Eric W. Jones , Joshua Derrick , Roger M. Nisbet , Will Ludington , David A. Sivak

We investigate stochastic processes that generalize geometric Brownian motion, focusing on cases where the standard invariant measure, i.e. the solution of the stationary Fokker-Planck equation does not necessarily exist. We demonstrate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-02-18 S. Giordano , R. Blossey

In this thesis, branching Brownian motion (BBM) is a random particle system where the particles diffuse on the real line according to Brownian motions and branch at constant rate into a random number of particles with expectation greater…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-02 Pascal Maillard

We report on novel Brownian, yet non-Gaussian diffusion, in which the mean square displacement of the particle grows linearly with time, the probability density for the particle spreading is Gaussian-like, however, the probability density…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-10-28 K. Białas , J. Łuczka , P. Hänggi , J. Spiechowicz

Brownian motion is a central scientific paradigm. Recently, due to increasing efforts and interests towards miniaturization and small-scale physics or biology, the effects of confinement on such a motion have become a key topic of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-13 Elodie Millan , Maxime Lavaud , Yacine Amarouchene , Thomas Salez

We study reaction-diffusion particle systems with several interaction mechanisms. As the number of particles tends to infinity, the system admits a mean-field limit describing the bulk behaviour. We focus on determining the propagation…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-21 Matthieu Jonckheere , Seva Shneer

State-of-the-art techniques in passive particle-tracking microscopy provide high-resolution path trajectories of diverse foreign particles in biological fluids. For particles on the order of 1 micron diameter, these paths are generally…

Logistic growth models are recurrent in biology, epidemiology, market models, and neural and social networks. They find important applications in many other fields including laser modelling. In numerous realistic cases the growth rate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-18 G. Aquino , M. Bologna , H. Calisto

We consider a limit order book, where buyers and sellers register to trade a security at specific prices. The largest price buyers on the book are willing to offer is called the market bid price, and the smallest price sellers on the book…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-03-28 Xin Liu , Qi Gong , Vidyadhar G. Kulkarni

The two-variable Langevin equations, modeling the Brownian motion of a particle moving in a potential and leading to the Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation, are shown to give rise to types of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-08-10 Jiulin Du