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The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Matroid theory provides a unifying framework for studying dependence across combinatorics, geometry, and applications ranging from rigidity to statistics. In this work, we study circuit varieties of matroids, defined by their minimal…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-12-05 Emiliano Liwski , Fatemeh Mohammadi , Rémi Prébet

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

Higher-order tensors appear in various areas of mechanics as well as physics, medicine or earth sciences. As these tensors are highly complex, most are not well understood. Thus, the analysis and the visualization process form a highly…

数学物理 · 物理学 2023-05-04 Anja Barz , Chiara Hergl , Gerik Scheuermann

We introduce the relative tail entropy to establish a variational principle for continuous bundle random dynamical systems. We also show that the relative tail entropy is conserved by the principal extension.

动力系统 · 数学 2016-06-20 Xianfeng Ma , Ercai Chen

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem, is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bi-variate set…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Real-world data often follows a long-tailed distribution, which makes the performance of existing classification algorithms degrade heavily. A key issue is that samples in tail categories fail to depict their intra-class diversity. Humans…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 Xiaohua Chen , Yucan Zhou , Dayan Wu , Wanqian Zhang , Yu Zhou , Bo Li , Weiping Wang

High-dimensional data arise routinely in modern statistics, econometrics, finance, genomics, and machine learning. While a large body of existing methodology is developed under Gaussian or light-tailed assumptions, many real data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Long Feng

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

Motivated by the increasing availability of data of functional nature, we develop a general probabilistic and statistical framework for extremes of regularly varying random elements $X$ in $L^2[0,1]$. We place ourselves in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-03 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Günter Last

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

In this paper, we study dependence uncertainty and the resulting effects on tail risk measures, which play a fundamental role in modern risk management. We introduce the notion of a regular dependence measure, defined on multi-marginal…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-28 Corrado De Vecchi , Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

We study the problem of factor modelling vector- and tensor-valued time series in the presence of heavy tails in the data, which produce extreme observations with non-negligible probability. We propose to combine a two-step procedure for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng

Vine copulas are a type of multivariate dependence model, composed of a collection of bivariate copulas that are combined according to a specific underlying graphical structure. Their flexibility and practicality in moderate and high…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn