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Recent empirical studies have confirmed the key roles of complex contagion mechanisms such as memory, social reinforcement, and decay effects in information diffusion and behaviour spreading. Inspired by this fact, we here propose a new…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-20 Pengbi Cui , Ming Tang , Zhi-Xi Wu

Contact tracing, the practice of isolating individuals who have been in contact with infected individuals, is an effective and practical way of containing disease spread. Here, we show that this strategy is particularly effective in the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-12 Abbas K. Rizi , Leah A. Keating , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan , Mikko Kivelä

In this paper, we propose Varying Effects Regression with Graph Estimation (VERGE), a novel Bayesian method for feature selection in regression. Our model has key aspects that allow it to leverage the complex structure of data sets arising…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Yangfan Ren , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

The spread of ideas across a social network can be studied using complex contagion models, in which agents are activated by contact with multiple activated neighbors. The investigation of complex contagions can provide crucial insights into…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Sergey Melnik , Jonathan A. Ward , James P. Gleeson , Mason A. Porter

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

We investigate how the properties of epidemic networks change depending on the availability of different types of data on a disease outbreak. This is achieved by introducing mathematical and computational methods that estimate the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Carl J. E. Suster , Eduardo G. Altmann

Demonstrations, protests, riots, and shifts in public opinion respond to the coordinating potential of communication networks. Digital technologies have turned interpersonal networks into massive, pervasive structures that constantly…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-03-14 Pablo Piedrahita , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno , Sandra González-Bailón

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Understanding how contagions (information, infections, etc) are spread on complex networks is important both from practical as well as theoretical point of view. Considerable work has been done in this regard in the past decade or so.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Afshin Montakhab , Pouya Manshour

Time-varying community structures widely exist in various real-world networks. However, the spreading dynamics on this kind of network has not been fully studied. To this end, we systematically study the effects of time-varying community…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-05-17 Mian-Xin Liu , Wei Wang , Ying Liu , Ming Tang , Shi-Min Cai , Hai-Feng Zhang

Network data have appeared frequently in recent research. For example, in comparing the effects of different types of treatment, network models have been proposed to improve the quality of estimation and hypothesis testing. In this paper,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Zhixin Zhou , Ping Li , Feifang Hu

Smoking behavior and awareness co-spread through social interactions, giving rise to coupled contagion processes on social contact networks. In addition to initiation and cessation, awareness of the harmful effects of smoking plays an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-03 Saicharan Ritwik Chinni , Anupama Sharma

This paper develops and analyzes optimization models for rapid detection of viruses in large contact networks. In the model, a virus spreads in a stochastic manner over an undirected connected graph, under various assumptions on the spread…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-16 Sudesh K. Agrawal , John J. Hasenbein

Many progresses in the understanding of epidemic spreading models have been obtained thanks to numerous modeling efforts and analytical and numerical studies, considering host populations with very different structures and properties,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-02 Antoine Moinet , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

We study numerically how the structures of distinct networks influence the epidemic dynamics in contact process. We first find that the variability difference between homogeneous and heterogeneous networks is very narrow, although the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-04-04 Kai Gong , Ming Tang , Hui Yang , Mingsheng Shang

It is common to define the structure of interactions among a population of agents by a network. Most of agent-based models were shown highly sensitive to that network, so the relevance of simulation results directely depends on the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-04-03 Samuel Thiriot , Jean-Daniel Kant

Our work stems from the consideration that the spreading of a disease is modulated by the individual's perception of the infected neighborhood and his/her strategy to avoid being infected as well. We introduced a general ``cellular agent''…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-01-20 Luca Sguanci , Pietro Lio' , Franco Bagnoli

Many epidemic models approximate social contact behavior by assuming random mixing within mixing groups (e.g., homes, schools and workplaces). The effect of more realistic social network structure on estimates of epidemic parameters is an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto