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Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Networks are often characterized by node heterogeneity for which nodes exhibit different degrees of interaction and link homophily for which nodes sharing common features tend to associate with each other. In this paper, we propose a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-13 Ting Yan , Binyan Jiang , Stephen E. Fienberg , Chenlei Leng

We study the spreading of cooperative infections in an empirical temporal network of contacts between people, including health care workers and patients, in a hospital. The system exhibits a phase transition leading to one or several…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-08 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Víctor M. Eguíluz

This paper investigates the identification and inference of treatment effects in randomized controlled trials with social interactions. Two key network features characterize the setting and introduce endogeneity: (1) latent variables may…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-04 Mengsi Gao

Using network-based information to facilitate information spreading is an essential task for spreading dynamics in complex networks, which will benefit the promotion of technical innovations, healthy behaviors, new products, etc. Focusing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-20 Lei Gao , Wei Wang , Liming Pan , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang

An enduring challenge in contagion theory is that the pathways contagions follow through social networks exhibit emergent complexities that are difficult to predict using network structure. Here, we address this challenge by developing a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Fabian Tschofenig , Douglas Guilbeault

When modeling the dynamics of infectious disease, the incorporation of contact network information allows for the capture of the non-randomness and heterogeneity of realistic contact patterns. Oftentimes, it is assumed that the underlying…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-17 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Bayesian networks provide a method of representing conditional independence between random variables and computing the probability distributions associated with these random variables. In this paper, we extend Bayesian network structures to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Eric Driver , Darryl Morrell

The propagations of diseases, behaviors and information in real systems are rarely independent of each other, but they are coevolving with strong interactions. To uncover the dynamical mechanisms, the evolving spatiotemporal patterns and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-02 Wei Wang , Quan-Hui Liu , Junhao Liang , Yanqing Hu , Tao Zhou

Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2012-12-06 Stefan Wieland , Tomas Aquino , Ana Nunes

Although there is a rapidly growing literature on dynamic connectivity methods, the primary focus has been on separate network estimation for each individual, which fails to leverage common patterns of information. We propose novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-15 Suprateek Kundu , Jin Ming , Joe Nocera , Keith M. McGregor

It has recently become possible to study the dynamics of information diffusion in techno-social systems at scale, due to the emergence of online platforms, such as Twitter, with millions of users. One question that systematically recurs is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-11-01 Bjarke Mønsted , Piotr Sapieżyński , Emilio Ferrara , Sune Lehmann

Physical contacts result in the spread of various phenomena such as viruses, gossips, ideas, packages and marketing pamphlets across a population. The spread depends on how people move and co-locate with each other, or their mobility…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Sepanta Zeighami , Cyrus Shahabi , John Krumm

Behavioral adoptions are influenced by peers in different ways. While some individuals may change after a single incoming influence, others need multiple cumulated attempts. These two mechanism, known as the simple and the complex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-02 Elsa Andres , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Michele Starnini , Márton Karsai

In this work, the spread of a contagious disease on a society where the individuals may take precautions is modeled. The primary assumption is that the infected individuals transmit the infection to the susceptible members of the community…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

Causal inference on populations embedded in social networks poses technical challenges, since the typical no interference assumption frequently does not hold. Existing methods developed in the context of network interference rely upon the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Vanessa McNealis , Erica E. M. Moodie , Nema Dean

Complex contagion models have been developed to understand a wide range of social phenomena such as adoption of cultural fads, the diffusion of belief, norms, and innovations in social networks, and the rise of collective action to join a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-07-04 Yong Zhuang , Osman Yağan

Many important questions in infectious disease epidemiology involve the effects of covariates (e.g., age or vaccination status) on infectiousness and susceptibility, which can be measured in studies of transmission in households or other…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Yushuf Sharker , Zaynab Diallo , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Eben Kenah

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck