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The log-likelihood of a generative model often involves both positive and negative terms. For a temporal multivariate point process, the negative term sums over all the possible event types at each time and also integrates over all the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Hongyuan Mei , Tom Wan , Jason Eisner

In this paper a new method is presented for the formulation and solution of two-time, response-excitation moment equations for a nonlinear dynamical system excited by colored, Gaussian or non-Gaussian processes. Starting from equations for…

We consider a class of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes where the state evolves according to a linear dynamical system. This continuous time evolution is interspersed by discrete events that occur at random times and change (reset)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-15 Mohammad Soltani , Abhyudai Singh

A strong analogy is found between the evolution of localized disturbances in extended chaotic systems and the propagation of fronts separating different phases. A condition for the evolution to be controlled by nonlinear mechanisms is…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-28 A. Torcini , P. Grassberger , A. Politi

We consider learning causal relationships under conditional moment restrictions. Unlike causal inference under unconditional moment restrictions, conditional moment restrictions pose serious challenges for causal inference, especially in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-30 Masahiro Kato , Masaaki Imaizumi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Haruo Kakehi , Shota Yasui

We give a compact, frame-independent characterization of the set of classical second-order moments for a single spin-1 particle. Defining the moment matrix M = 2Q + (1/3) I, we show that a moment pair (s, Q) arises from a positive mixture…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-16 K. S. Mallesh

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

In this paper we consider the problem of efficient computation of cross-moments of a vector random variable represented by a stochastic context-free grammar. Two types of cross-moments are discussed. The sample space for the first one is…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2013-10-15 Velimir M. Ilic , Miroslav D. Ciric , Miomir S. Stankovic

We obtain optimal moment bounds for Birkhoff sums, and optimal concentration inequalities, for a large class of slowly mixing dynamical systems, including those that admit anomalous diffusion in the form of a stable law or a central limit…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-09-01 Sébastien Gouëzel , Ian Melbourne

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moment estimates of Rosenthal type for a rather general class of random variables satisfying certain bounds on the cumulants. We consider sequences of random variables which satisfy a central…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-16 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

Orthogonal statistical learning and double machine learning have emerged as general frameworks for two-stage statistical prediction in the presence of a nuisance component. We establish non-asymptotic bounds on the excess risk of orthogonal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Lang Liu , Carlos Cinelli , Zaid Harchaoui

The predictive ability of stochastic chemical reactions is currently limited by the lack of closed form solutions to the governing chemical master equation. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes a computational method capable of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-01-08 Yuta Sakurai , Yutaka Hori

Sturm theory for second order differential equations was generalized to systems and higher order equations with positive leading coefficient by several authors. Here we propose a Sturm oscillation theorem for indefinite systems of even…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2008-12-11 Alessandro Portaluri

Recent work by M. Afifurrahman established the first asymptotic estimates with error terms for the number of $2\times 2$ matrices with fixed non-zero determinant $n\in\mathbb{N}$, and with coefficients bounded in absolute value by $X$. In…

数论 · 数学 2026-04-01 Kavita Dhanda , Alan Haynes , Silmi Prasala

In this paper we derive quantitative boundary H\"older estimates, with explicit constants, for the inhomogeneous Poisson problem in a bounded open set $D\subset \mathbb{R}^d$. Our approach has two main steps: firstly, we consider an…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-09 Iulian Cîmpean , Ionel Popescu , Arghir Zarnescu

Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

The paper studies discrete time processes and their predictability and randomness in deterministic pathwise setting, without using probabilistic assumptions on the ensemble. We suggest some approaches to quantification of randomness based…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Unbiased risk estimation, \`a la Stein, is studied for infinitely divisible laws with finite second moment.

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 R. Averkamp , C. Houdré

In this paper, we derive non-asymptotic achievability and converse bounds on the random number generation with/without side-information. Our bounds are efficiently computable in the sense that the computational complexity does not depend on…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

In this paper, convergence for moments of powered normal extremes is considered under an optimal choice of normalizing constants. It is shown that the rates of convergence for normalized powered normal extremes depend on the power index.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-11 Tingting Li , Zuoxiang Peng