相关论文: Global Threshold Dynamics of a Stochastic Differen…

A four-dimensional delay differential equations (DDEs) model of malaria with standard incidence rate is proposed. By utilizing the limiting system of the model and Lyapunov direct method, the global stability of equilibria of the model is…

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

Compartmental models are widely used in mathematical epidemiology to describe dynamics of infection disease. A new SIS-PDE model, recently derived by Chalub and Souza, is based on a diffusion-drift approximation of probability density in a…

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Disease awareness in epidemiology can be modelled with adaptive contact networks, where the interplay of disease dynamics and network alteration often adds new phases to the standard models (Gross et al. 2006, Shaw et al. 2008) and, in…

Susceptibility governs the dynamics of contagion. The classical SIR model is one of the simplest compartmental models of contagion spread, assuming a single shared susceptibility level. However, variation in susceptibility over a population…

The dynamics of an SIS epidemic patch model with asymmetric connectivity matrix is analyzed. It is shown that the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is strictly decreasing with respect to the dispersal rate of the infected individuals, and the…

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

This paper proposes a new notion of distributional Input-to-State Stability (dISS) for dynamic systems evolving in probability spaces over a domain. Unlike other norm-based ISS concepts, we rely on the Wasserstein metric, which captures…

The quasi-deterministic limit of the generic extinction transition is considered within the framework of standard epidemiological models. The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model is known to exhibit a transition from extinction to…

The problem of model selection in the context of a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has not been touched upon in the literature. Indeed, properties of Bayes factors have not been studied even in single SDE based model…

We consider SISI epidemic model with discrete-time. The crucial point of this model is that an individual can be infected twice. This non-linear evolution operator depends on seven parameters and we assume that the population size under…

In this paper we study, at different levels of generality, certain systems of delay differential equations (DDE). One focus and motivation is a system with state-dependent delay (SD-DDE) that has been formulated to describe the maturation…

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

In this work, we have developed a Coxian distributed SEIR model in incorporating an empirical incubation period. We show that the global dynamics are completely determined by a basic reproduction number. An application of the Coxian…

This paper introduces a continuous-time stochastic dynamical framework for understanding how large language models (LLMs) may self-amplify latent biases or toxicity through their own chain-of-thought reasoning. The model posits an…

The spread of infectious diseases is a major challenge in our contemporary world, especially after the recent outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The quarantine strategy is one of the important intervention measures to control…

We extend a recent investigation by Meehan et al. (2019) regarding the global stability properties of the general Kermack-McKendrick (renewal) model to the multi-strain case. We demonstrate that the basic reproduction number of each strain…

In this paper, we consider an opioid epidemic dynamical model with random perturbation that typically describes the interplay between regular prescription use, addictive use, and the process of rehabilitation from addiction and vice-versa.…