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Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Engineering and applied science rely on computational experiments to rigorously study physical systems. The mathematical models used to probe these systems are highly complex, and sampling-intensive studies often require prohibitively many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Joy N. Mueller , Khachik Sargsyan , Craig J. Daniels , Habib N. Najm

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Polynomial chaos and Gaussian process emulation are methods for surrogate-based uncertainty quantification, and have been developed independently in their respective communities over the last 25 years. Despite tackling similar problems in…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-16 N. E. Owen , P. Challenor , P. P. Menon , S. Bennani

In surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is popularly utilized to represent the random model responses, which are computationally expensive and usually obtained by deterministic numerical modeling approaches including finite…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-01 Z. Liu , D. Lesselier , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Biomolecules exhibit conformational fluctuations near equilibrium states, inducing uncertainty in various biological properties in a dynamic way. We have developed a general method to quantify the uncertainty of target properties induced by…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2018-10-02 Huan Lei , Xiu Yang , Bin Zheng , Guang Lin , Nathan A. Baker

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven efficiency in a number of fields for propagating parametric uncertainties through computational models of complex systems, namely structural and fluid mechanics, chemical reactions and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-13 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker
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