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The post-Moore era casts a shadow of uncertainty on many aspects of computer system design. Managing that uncertainty requires new algorithmic tools to make quantitative assessments. While prior uncertainty quantification methods, such as…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-22 Zichang He , Weilong Cui , Chunfeng Cui , Timothy Sherwood , Zheng Zhang

One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-25 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

A common challenge in computer experiments and related fields is to efficiently explore the input space using a small number of samples, i.e., the experimental design problem. Much of the recent focus in the computer experiment literature,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-01 Boya Zhang , D. Austin Cole , Robert B. Gramacy

This paper proposes a general framework to estimate coefficients of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) used in uncertainty quantification via rotational sparse approximation. In particular, we aim to identify a rotation matrix such that the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Mengqi Hu , Yifei Lou , Xiu Yang

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

As uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex models grows ever more important, the difficulty of their timely realizations highlights a need for more efficient numerical operations. Non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos methods are highly…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-14 Konstantin Weise , Erik Müller , Lucas Poßner , Thomas R. Knösche

In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

Gaussian process surrogates are a popular alternative to directly using computationally expensive simulation models. When the simulation output consists of many responses, dimension-reduction techniques are often employed to construct these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Moses Y-H. Chan , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Multidisciplinary design optimization methods aim at adapting numerical optimization techniques to the design of engineering systems involving multiple disciplines. In this context, a large number of mixed continuous, integer and…

The non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) method is a popular computational approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. The main hurdle preventing its efficient direct application for…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-19 Jiahua Jiang , Yanlai Chen , Akil Narayan

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

Because of the complexity of fluid flow solvers, non-intrusive uncertainty quantification techniques have been developed in aerodynamic simulations in order to compute the quantities of interest required in an optimization process, for…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-03-02 Éric Savin , Béatrice Faverjon

We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang