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P\'olya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: the replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-04 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

A P\'olya urn process is a Markov chain that models the evolution of an urn containing some coloured balls, the set of possible colours being $\{1,\ldots,d\}$ for $d\in \mathbb{N}$. At each time step, a random ball is chosen uniformly in…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-13 Cécile Mailler , Jean-François Marckert

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

P{\'o}lya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and is replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: The replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-06-22 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

The fringe of a B-tree with parameter $m$ is considered as a particular P\'olya urn with $m$ colors. More precisely, the asymptotic behaviour of this fringe, when the number of stored keys tends to infinity, is studied through the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-23 Brigitte Chauvin , Danièle Gardy , Nicolas Pouyanne , Dai-Hai Ton-That

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

Early investigation of P\'{o}lya urns considered drawing balls one at a time. In the last two decades, several authors considered multiple drawing in each step, but mostly for schemes on two colors. In this manuscript, we consider multiple…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-20 Joshua Sparks , Markus Kuba , Srinivasan Balaji , Hosam Mahmoud

This paper is devoted to a direct martingale approach for P{\'o}lya urn models asymptotic behaviour. A P{\'o}lya process is said to be small when the ratio of its remplacement matrix eigenvalues is less than or equal to 1/2, otherwise it is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-11 Lucile Laulin

We define the notions of disjoint unions and products for generalised P\'olya urns, proving that this turns the set of isomorphism classes of urns into a commutative semiring. The set of square matrices up to similarity by a permutation…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-16 Fabian Burghart

We consider a version of the classical P\'olya urn scheme which incorporates innovations. The space $S$ of colors is an arbitrary measurable set. After each sampling of a ball in the urn, one returns $C$ balls of the same color and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-17 Jean Bertoin

Generalized P\'olya urns with non-linear feedback are an established probabilistic model to describe the dynamics of growth processes with reinforcement, a generic example being competition of agents in evolving markets. It is well known…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-07 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

In this paper, we consider a new type of urn scheme, where the selection probabilities are proportional to a weight function, which is linear but decreasing in the proportion of existing colours. We refer to it as the \emph{negatively…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Gursharn Kaur

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

In this paper, we prove convergence and fluctuation results for measure-valued P\'olya processes (MVPPs, also known as P\'olya urns with infinitely-many colours). Our convergence results hold almost surely and in $L^2$, under assumptions…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-29 Svante Janson , Cécile Mailler , Denis Villemonais

The Generalized P\'{o}lya Urn (GPU) is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we propose a sequential…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Li-X. Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

组合数学 · 数学 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud

We consider systems of interacting Generalized Friedman's Urns (GFUs) having irreducible mean replacement matrices. The interaction is modeled through the probability to sample the colors from each urn, that is defined as convex combination…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Giacomo Aletti , Andrea Ghiglietti

Consider a balanced non triangular two-color P\'olya-Eggenberger urn process, assumed to be large which means that the ratio sigma of the replacement matrix eigenvalues satisfies 1/2<sigma <1. The composition vector of both discrete time…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-31 Brigitte Chauvin , Cécile Mailler , Nicolas Pouyanne

In this paper, we consider a multi-drawing urn model with random addition. At each discrete time step, we draw a sample of m balls. According to the composition of the drawn colors, we return the balls together with a random number of balls…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-14 Rafik Aguech , Nabil Lasmar , Olfa Selmi
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