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Stochastically evolving geometric systems are studied in shape analysis and computational anatomy for modelling random evolutions of human organ shapes. The notion of geodesic paths between shapes is central to shape analysis and has a…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-01 Alexis Arnaudon , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

We revisit classical asymptotics when testing for a structural break in linear regression models by obtaining the limit theory of residual-based and Wald-type processes. First, we establish the Brownian bridge limiting distribution of these…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-16 Christis Katsouris

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

The mean first exit time and escape probability are utilized to quantify dynamical behaviors of stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian alpha-stable type Levy motions. Both deterministic quantities are characterized by…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-01-31 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

We study the probability distribution of a current flowing through a diffusive system connected to a pair of reservoirs at its two ends. Sufficient conditions for the occurrence of a host of possible phase transitions both in and out of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-01-25 Yongjoo Baek , Yariv Kafri , Vivien Lecomte

Dynamical phase transitions are defined as non-analytic points of the large deviation function of current fluctuations. We show that for boundary driven systems, many dynamical phase transitions can be identified using the geometrical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-12-13 Ohad Shpielberg

This paper investigates the exit-time problem for time-inhomogeneous diffusion processes. The focus is on the small-noise behavior of the exit time from a bounded positively invariant domain. We demonstrate that, when the drift and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Ashot Aleksian , Stéphane Villeneuve

The first of $N$ identical independently distributed (i.i.d.) Brownian trajectories that arrives to a small target, sets the time scale of activation, which in general is much faster than the arrival to the target of only a single…

亚细胞过程 · 定量生物学 2018-10-17 Kanishka Basnayake , Claire Guerrier , Zeev Schuss , David Holcman

We consider the one dimensional asymmetric exclusion process with particle injection and extraction at two boundaries. The model is known to exhibit four distinct phases in its stationary state. We analyze the current statistics at the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Jan de Gier , Fabian H. L. Essler

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

The large deviation properties of equilibrium (reversible) lattice gases are mathematically reasonably well understood. Much less is known in non--equilibrium, namely for non reversible systems. In this paper we consider a simple example of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-08-22 Jin Feng , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Rohini Kumar

In this paper we study the large time asymptotics of the flow of a dynamical system $X'=b(X)$ posed in the $d$-dimensional torus. Rather than using the classical unique ergodicity condition which is not fulfilled if $b$ vanishes at…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-12-20 Marc Briane , Loïc Hervé

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-20 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

The paper presents new simple sharp bounds for transition density functions for time-homogeneous diffusions processes. The bounds are obtained under mild conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients, extending and substantially…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-08 Andrew N. Downes

By an extension of the Bethe ansatz method used by Gwa and Spohn, we obtain an exact expression for the large deviation function of the time averaged current for the fully asymmetric exclusion process in a ring containing $N$ sites and $p$…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 B. Derrida , J. L. Lebowitz

We consider noise-driven exit from a domain of attraction in a two-dimensional bistable system lacking detailed balance. Through analog and digital stochastic simulations, we find a theoretically predicted bifurcation of the most probable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 D. G. Luchinsky , R. S. Maier , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock , D. L. Stein

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus