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In this article, we consider a one-dimensional symmetric exclusion process in weak contact with reservoirs at the boundary. In the diffusive time-scaling the empirical measure evolves according to the heat equation with Robin boundary…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-29 T. Franco , P. Gonçalves , C. Landim , A. Neumann

We investigate the Large Deviation behavior in small time of continuous Gaussian processes. We introduce a general procedure allowing to derive Large Deviation Principles in small time starting from the well understood context of Large…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Paolo Baldi , Barbara Pacchiarotti

In this paper we investigate the statistics of large waiting times (with respect to the total waiting time) for Bernoulli processes. We determine the corresponding rate functions explicitly and prove a large deviations asymptotic. By this…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-02 Marc Kesseböhmer , Lidong Tang

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

In this paper, we study the asymptotic of exit problem for controlled Markov diffusion processes with random jumps and vanishing diffusion terms, where the random jumps are introduced in order to modify the evolution of the controlled…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-02-08 Getachew K. Befekadu

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

The random flights are (continuous time) random walkswith finite velocity. Often, these models describe the stochastic motions arising in biology. In this paper we study the large time asymptotic behavior of random flights. We prove the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-30 Alessandro De Gregorio , Claudio Macci

The diffusion bridge, which is a diffusion process conditioned on hitting a specific state within a finite period, has found broad applications in various scientific and engineering fields. However, simulating diffusion bridges for modeling…

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

We derive a large deviation principle for the empirical currents of lattice gas dynamics which combine a fast stirring mechanism (Symmetric Simple Exclusion Process) and creation/annihilation mechanisms (Glauber dynamics). Previous results…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-03 T. Bodineau , M. Lagouge

We consider large deviations of empirical measures of diffusion processes. In a first part, we present conditions to obtain a large deviations principle (LDP) for a precise class of unbounded functions. This provides an analogue to the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Grégoire Ferré , Gabriel Stoltz

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We consider a model of surface-mediated diffusion with alternating phases of pure bulk and surface diffusion. For this process, we compute the mean exit time from a disk through a hole on the circle. We develop a spectral approach to this…

数学物理 · 物理学 2014-04-24 O. Bénichou , D. S. Grebenkov , L. Hillairet , L. Phun , R. Voituriez , M. Zinsmeister

A large deviation principle is established for a general class of stochastic flows in the small noise limit. This result is then applied to a Bayesian formulation of an image matching problem, and an approximate maximum likelihood property…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Vasileios Maroulas

A telegraph process with an elastic barrier at the origin was studied in [5]; in particular the number of visits of the origin before the absorption is a geometric distributed random variable M. Some asymptotic results (large and moderate…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-24 Antonella Iuliano , Claudio Macci

For diffusion processes in dimension $d>1$, the statistics of trajectory observables over the time-window $[0,T]$ can be studied via the Feynman-Kac deformations of the Fokker-Planck generator, that can be interpreted as euclidean…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-22 Cecile Monthus

We propose threshold diffusion processes as unique solutions to stochastic differential equations with step-function coefficients, and obtain explicit expressions for the conditional Laplace transform of the hitting times and the potential…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-26 Lina Ji , Chuyang Li , Xiaowen Zhou

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit