相关论文: Excursion probability of Gaussian random fields on…
We study the escape probability problem in random walks over graphs. Given vertices, $s,t,$ and $p$, the problem asks for the probability that a random walk starting at $s$ will hit $t$ before hitting $p$. Such probabilities can be…
We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…
We consider random flights in $\mathbb{R}^d$ reflecting on the surface of a sphere $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}_R,$ with center at the origin and with radius $R,$ where reflection is performed by means of circular inversion. Random flights studied in…
The motion of a lazy Pearson walker is studied with different probability ($p$) of jump in two and three dimensions. The probability of exit ($P_e$) from a zone of radius $r_e$, is studied as a function of $r_e$ with different values of…
In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…
We focus on the problem of estimating and quantifying uncertainties on the excursion set of a function under a limited evaluation budget. We adopt a Bayesian approach where the objective function is assumed to be a realization of a Gaussian…
For extrasolar planets with orbital periods, P>10 days, radial velocity surveys find non-circular orbital eccentricities are common, <e>~0.3. Future surveys for extrasolar planets using the transit technique will also have sensitivity to…
Starting with just the assumption of uniformly distributed orbital orientations, we derive expressions for the distributions of the Keplerian orbital elements as functions of arbitrary distributions of eccentricity and semi-major axis. We…
We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…
We evaluate the limit distribution of the maximal excursion of a random walk in any dimension for homogeneous environments and for self-similar supports under the assumption of spherical symmetry. This distribution is obtained in closed…
We investigate Lipschitz-Killing curvatures for excursion sets of random fields on $\mathbb R^2$ under small spatial-invariant random perturbations. An expansion formula for mean curvatures is derived when the magnitude of the perturbation…
We are interested in creating statistical methods to provide informative summaries of random fields through the geometry of their excursion sets. To this end, we introduce an estimator for the length of the perimeter of excursion sets of…
It is widely known that the tube method, or equivalently the Euler characteristic heuristic, provides a very accurate approximation for the tail probability that the supremum of a smooth Gaussian random field exceeds a threshold value $c$.…
The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…
We provide a method for fast and exact simulation of Gaussian random fields on spheres having isotropic covariance functions. The method proposed is then extended to Gaussian random fields defined over spheres cross time and having…
Researching elliptic analogues for equalities and formulas is a new trend in enumerative combinatorics which has followed the previous trend of studying $q$-analogues. Recently Schlosser proposed a lattice path model in the square lattice…
We study percolative properties of excursion processes and the discrete Gaussian free field (dGFF) in the planar unit disk. We consider discrete excursion clouds, defined using random walks as a two-dimensional version of random…
Context: Two-point correlation functions are used throughout cosmology as a measure for the statistics of random fields. When used in Bayesian parameter estimation, their likelihood function is usually replaced by a Gaussian approximation.…
Our interest in this paper is to explore limit theorems for various geometric functionals of excursion sets of isotropic Gaussian random fields. In the past, limit theorems have been proven for various geometric functionals of excursion…
We consider an obliquely reflected Brownian motion $Z$ with positive drift in a quadrant stopped at time $T$, where $T:=\inf \{ t>0 : Z(t)=(0,0) \}$ is the first hitting time of the origin. Such a process can be defined even in the…