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相关论文: Second order statistics characterization of Hawkes…

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Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

This paper presents a parametric estimation method for ill-observed linear stationary Hawkes processes. When the exact locations of points are not observed, but only counts over time intervals of fixed size, methods based on the likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-11 Felix Cheysson , Gabriel Lang

This is the second part of our work on Multivariate Quadratic Hawkes (MQHawkes) Processes, devoted to the calibration of the model defined and studied analytically in Aubrun, C., Benzaquen, M., & Bouchaud, J. P., Quantitative Finance,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-26 Cecilia Aubrun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper presents an option pricing model that incorporates clustered jumps using a bivariate Hawkes process. The process captures both self- and cross-excitation of positive and negative jumps, enabling the model to generate return…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-27 Francis Liu , Natalie Packham , Artur Sepp

We introduce a novel and efficient simulation scheme for Hawkes processes on a fixed time grid, leveraging their affine Volterra structure. The key idea is to first simulate the integrated intensity and the counting process using Inverse…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Elie Attal , Dimitri Sotnikov

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

Quadratic Hawkes (QHawkes) processes have proved effective at reproducing the statistics of price changes, capturing many of the stylised facts of financial markets. Motivated by the recently reported strong occurrence of endogenous…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-02-15 Cécilia Aubrun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper is devoted to establishing the full scaling limit theorems for multivariate Hawkes processes. Under some mild conditions on the exciting kernels, we develop a new way to prove that after a suitable time-spatial scaling, the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-20 Wei Xu

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

This study explores the application of Hawkes processes to model high-frequency data in the context of limit order books. Two distinct Hawkes-based models are proposed and analyzed: one utilizing exponential kernels and the other employing…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-20 Neal Batra

Multivariate Hawkes processes are past-dependant point processes originally introduced to model excitation effects, later extended to a nonlinear framework to account for the opposite effect, known as inhibition. Motivated by applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Sacha Quayle , Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier

Hawkes processes have seen a number of applications in finance, due to their ability to capture event clustering behaviour typically observed in financial systems. Given a calibrated Hawkes process, of concern is the statistical fit to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-04-18 Roger Martins , Dieter Hendricks

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

The extent to which a matching engine can cloud the modelling of underlying order submission and management processes in a financial market remains an unanswered concern with regards to market models. Here we consider a 10-variate Hawkes…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-08-18 Ivan Jericevich , Patrick Chang , Tim Gebbie

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang