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相关论文: Convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov c…

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The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

We provide a framework which admits a number of ``marginal'' sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms as particular cases -- including the marginal particle filter [Klaas et al., 2005, in: Proceedings of Uncertainty in Artificial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Francesca R. Crucinio , Adam M. Johansen

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a popular variant of the Metropolis--Hastings scheme which allows us to sample asymptotically from a target probability density $\pi$, when we are only able to estimate an unnormalized version of $\pi$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-20 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin

We consider a pseudo-marginal Metropolis--Hastings kernel $P_m$ that is constructed using an average of $m$ exchangeable random variables, as well as an analogous kernel $P_s$ that averages $s<m$ of these same random variables. Using an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre Thiery , Anthony Lee

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

In this paper, we study the asymptotic variance of sample path averages for inhomogeneous Markov chains that evolve alternatingly according to two different $\pi$-reversible Markov transition kernels $P$ and $Q$. More specifically, our main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Florian Maire , Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson

We establish quantitative bounds for rates of convergence and asymptotic variances for iterated conditional sequential Monte Carlo (i-cSMC) Markov chains and associated particle Gibbs samplers. Our main findings are that the essential…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Matti Vihola

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

We investigate the use of a certain class of functional inequalities known as weak Poincar\'e inequalities to bound convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium. We show that this enables the straightforward and transparent derivation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-25 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

There is a growing interest in the literature for adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo methods based on sequences of random transition kernels $\{P_n\}$ where the kernel $P_n$ is allowed to have an invariant distribution $\pi_n$ not…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-18 Yves F. Atchadé

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

The general applicability and ease of use of the pseudo-marginal Metropolis--Hastings (PMMH) algorithm, and particle Metropolis--Hastings in particular, makes it a popular method for inference on discretely observed Markovian stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-19 Chris Sherlock

It is commonly admitted that non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms usually yield more accurate MCMC estimators than their reversible counterparts. In this note, we show that in addition to their variance reduction…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Marie Vialaret , Florian Maire

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

Approximate Bayesian computation has emerged as a standard computational tool when dealing with the increasingly common scenario of completely intractable likelihood functions in Bayesian inference. We show that many common Markov chain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-12 Anthony Lee , Krzysztof Latuszynski

We prove a central limit theorem for a general class of adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms driven by sub-geometrically ergodic Markov kernels. We discuss in detail the special case of stochastic approximation. We use the result to…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-03 Yves F. Atchade , Gersende Fort
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