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The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

To represent the complex individual interactions in the dynamics of disease spread informed by data, the coupling of an epidemiological agent-based model with the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed. The statistical inference of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-04 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Juan Aparicio , Juan Ruiz , Ignacio Simoy , Santiago Rosa

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a standard methodology for state estimation in high-dimensional systems, yet its various stochastic and deterministic formulations often appear conceptually disconnected. In this paper, a unified…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Jin Won Kim

The weather and climate domains are undergoing a significant transformation thanks to advances in AI-based foundation models such as FourCastNet, GraphCast, ClimaX and Pangu-Weather. While these models show considerable potential, they are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Junqi Yin , Siming Liang , Siyan Liu , Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Dan Lu , Guannan Zhang

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo based implementation of the Kalman filter (KF) for extremely high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear and non-Gaussian state estimation problems. Its ability to handle state dimensions in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-12 Michael Roth , Gustaf Hendeby , Carsten Fritsche , Fredrik Gustafsson

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Because of physical assumptions and numerical approximations, low-order models are affected by uncertainties in the state and parameters, and by model biases. Model biases, also known as model errors or systematic errors, are difficult to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

We propose a distributed cooperative positioning algorithm using the extended Kalman filter (EKF) based spatio-temporal data fusion (STDF) for a wireless network composed of sparsely distributed high-mobility nodes. Our algorithm first…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Yue Cao , Shaoshi Yang , Xiao Ma , Zhiyong Feng

EnKF-C provides a compact generic framework for off-line data assimilation into large-scale layered geophysical models with the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). It is coded in C for GNU/Linux platform and can work either in EnKF, ensemble…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Pavel Sakov

We present a practical implementation of the ensemble Kalman (EnKF) filter based on an iterative Sherman-Morrison formula. The new direct method exploits the special structure of the ensemble-estimated error covariance matrices in order to…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu , Jeffrey Anderson

Rapid resource model updating with real-time data is important for making timely decisions in resource management and mining operations. This requires optimal merging of models and observations, which can be achieved through data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Sultan Abulkhair , Peter Dowd , Chaoshui Xu , Penny Stewart

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an efficient algorithm for many data assimilation problems. In certain circumstances, however, divergence of the EnKF might be spotted. In previous studies, the authors proposed an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-08-19 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Many real-world problems require one to estimate parameters of interest, in a Bayesian framework, from data that are collected sequentially in time. Conventional methods for sampling from posterior distributions, such as {Markov Chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Jiangqi Wu , Linjie Wen , Peter L Green , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

Through ensemble-based data assimilation (DA), we address one of the most notorious difficulties in phase-resolved ocean wave forecast, regarding the deviation of numerical solution from the true surface elevation due to the chaotic nature…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-07-01 Guangyao Wang , Yulin Pan

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

Data assimilation (DA) plays a pivotal role in diverse applications, ranging from climate predictions and weather forecasts to trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. A prime example is the widely used ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF),…

Data-driven modelling techniques provide a method for deriving models of dynamical systems directly from complicated data streams. However, tracking and forecasting such data streams poses a significant challenge to most methods, as they…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-25 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh