相关论文: On resolving the Savage-Dickey paradox

Bayesian statistics is based on the subjective definition of probability as {\it ``degree of belief''} and on Bayes' theorem, the basic tool for assigning probabilities to hypotheses combining {\it a priori} judgements and experimental…

We study a new class of so-called rational-infinitely (or quasi-infinitely) divisible probability laws on the real line. The characteristic functions of these distributions are ratios of the characteristic functions of classical infinitely…

This paper derives an objective Bayesian "prior" based on considerations of entropy/information. By this means, it produces a quantitative measure of goodness of fit (the "H-statistic") that balances higher likelihood against the number of…

Let $E\subset [0,1]$ be a set that supports a probability measure $\mu$ with the property that $|\widehat{\mu}(t)|\ll (\log |t|)^{-A}$ for some constant $A>2.$ Let $\mathcal{A}=(q_n)_{n\in \N}$ be a positive, real-valued, lacunary sequence.…

In this paper, a new probability density function (pdf) is proposed to model the statistics of wavelet coefficients, and a simple Kalman's filter is derived from the new pdf using Bayesian estimation theory. Specifically, we decompose the…

In this note, we revisit the recent work of Diakonikolas, Gouleakis, Kane, Peebles, and Price (2021), and provide an alternative proof of their main result. Our argument does not rely on any specific property of Poisson random variables…

Building upon the Chatterjee correlation (2021: J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 116, p2009) for two real-valued variables, this study introduces a generalized measure of directed association between two vector variables, real or complex-valued, and of…

In analytic number theory, the Selberg--Delange Method provides an asymptotic formula for the partial sums of a complex function $f$ whose Dirichlet series has the form of a product of a well-behaved analytic function and a complex power of…

Bayesian predictive synthesis is useful in synthesizing multiple predictive distributions coherently. However, the proof for the fundamental equation of the synthesized predictive density has been missing. In this technical report, we…

We describe a simple and efficient procedure for approximating the L\'evy measure of a $\text{Gamma}(\alpha,1)$ random variable. We use this approximation to derive a finite sum-representation that converges almost surely to Ferguson's…

We review the problem of how to compute the spectral density of sparse symmetric random matrices, i.e. weighted adjacency matrices of undirected graphs. Starting from the Edwards-Jones formula, we illustrate the milestones of this line of…

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density…

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a fundamental machine learning technique for comparing two probability distributions. However, existing methods struggle in high-dimensional settings, as it is difficult to accurately compare probability…

Frequentist-style large-sample properties of Bayesian posterior distributions, such as consistency and convergence rates, are important considerations in nonparametric problems. In this paper we give an analysis of Bayesian asymptotics…

Bayes [Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. 53 (1763) 370--418; 54 296--325] introduced the observed likelihood function to statistical inference and provided a weight function to calibrate the parameter; he also introduced a confidence…

A perennial objection against Bayes factor point-null hypothesis tests is that the point-null hypothesis is known to be false from the outset. We examine the consequences of approximating the sharp point-null hypothesis by a hazy…

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Building upon the theory of graph limits and the Aldous-Hoover representation and inspired by Panchenko's work on asymptotic Gibbs measures (Annals of Probability 2013), we construct continuous embeddings of discrete probability…

Bayesian model averaging, model selection and its approximations such as BIC are generally statistically consistent, but sometimes achieve slower rates og convergence than other methods such as AIC and leave-one-out cross-validation. On the…

We provide novel probabilistic portrayals of two multivariate models designed to handle zero-inflation in count-compositional data. We develop a new unifying framework that represents both as finite mixture distributions. One of these…