相关论文: On asymptotic normality of sequential LS-estimates…
Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…
Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…
A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares…
We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…
We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…
We investigate a semiparametric regression model where one gets noisy non linear non invertible functions of the observations. We focus on the application to bearings-only tracking. We first investigate the least squares estimator and prove…
In this paper the asymptotic behavior of an unstable integer-valued autoregressive model of order p (INAR(p)) is described. Under a natural assumption it is proved that the sequence of appropriately scaled random step functions formed from…
We consider the problem of estimating an arbitrary dynamical parameter of an quantum open system in the input-output formalism. For irreducible Markov processes, we show that in the limit of large times the system-output state can be…
This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…
The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…
This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…
We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…
For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…
Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…
In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…
In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…
In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…
In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…
We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…
This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…