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We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We study the tail behavior of the distribution of the sum of asymptotically independent risks whose marginal distributions belong to the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. We impose conditions on the distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick

In 1962 Dyson used a physically based, macroscopic argument to deduce the first two terms of the large spacing asymptotic expansion of the gap probability for the bulk state of random matrix ensembles with symmetry parameter \beta. In the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2016-02-12 Peter J. Forrester

At the present time reliably established that probability density functions of gene expression of microarray experiments possess a number of universal properties. First of all these distributions have power asymptotic and secondly the shape…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-08 Viacheslav Saenko , Yurij Saenko

Consider a random matrix $\mathbf{A}\in\mathbb{C}^{m\times n}$ ($m \geq n$) containing independent complex Gaussian entries with zero mean and unit variance, and let $0<\lambda_1\leq \lambda_{2}\leq ...\leq \lambda_n<\infty$ denote the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-06 Prathapasinghe Dharmawansa , Matthew McKay , Yang Chen

An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

The measure of Jensen-Fisher divergence between probability distributions is introduced and its theoretical grounds set up. This quantity, in contrast to the remaining Jensen divergences, is very sensitive to the fluctuations of the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-01-08 P. Sánchez-Moreno , A. Zarzo , J. S. Dehesa

The random graph model has recently been extended to a random preferential attachment graph model, in order to enable the study of general asymptotic properties in network types that are better represented by the preferential attachment…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-02-10 Chen Avin , Zvi Lotker , David Peleg

We consider a generalization of the weighted random ball model. The model is driven by a random Poisson measure with a product heavy tailed intensity measure. Such a model typically represents the transmission of a network of stations with…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-01 Jean-Christophe Breton , Clement Dombry

It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

We adapt the techniques in Stigler [Ann. Statist. 1 (1973) 472--477] to obtain a new, general asymptotic result for trimmed $U$-statistics via the generalized $L$-statistic representation introduced by Serfling [Ann. Statist. 12 (1984)…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-29 Yuri V. Borovskikh , N. C. Weber

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

We propose extreme value analogues of natural exponential families and exponential dispersion models, and introduce the slope function as an analogue of the variance function. The set of quadratic and power slope functions characterize…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-31 Bent Jørgensen , Yuri Goegebeur , José Raúl Martínez

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang