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We introduce a framework for obtaining tight mixing times for Markov chains based on what we call restricted modified log-Sobolev inequalities. Modified log-Sobolev inequalities (MLSI) quantify the rate of relative entropy contraction for…

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

We consider an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random dynamical system of simple linear transformations on the unit interval $T_{\beta}(x)=\beta x$ (mod $1$), $x\in[0,1]$, $\beta>0$, which are the so-called…

We develop a Thermodynamic Formalism for bounded continuous potentials defined on the sequence space $X\equiv E^{\mathbb{N}}$, where $E$ is a general Borel standard space. In particular, we introduce meaningful concepts of entropy and…

Filyokov and Karpov [Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal 13, 624 (1967)] have proposed a theory of non-equilibrium steady states in direct analogy with the theory of equilibrium states : the principle is to maximize the Shannon entropy…

Suppose $N$ independent Bernoulli trials are observed sequentially at random times of a mixed binomial process. The task is to maximise, by using a nonanticipating stopping strategy, the probability of stopping at the last success. We focus…

We establish the weak large deviations principle for empirical measures of Markov chains on $\mathbb R^d$ under mild assumptions. In particular, no irreducibility is assumed and the initial measure may be arbitrary. The proof is entirely…

For a Markov decision process with countably infinite states, the optimal value may not be achievable in the set of stationary policies. In this paper, we study the existence conditions of an optimal stationary policy in a countable-state…

Ergodic optimization aims to describe dynamically invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. For a wide class of intrinsically ergodic subshifts over a finite alphabet, we show that the space of…

We investigate the convergence rate of the optimal entropic cost $v_\varepsilon$ to the optimal transport cost as the noise parameter $\varepsilon \downarrow 0$. We show that for a large class of cost functions $c$ on $\mathbb{R}^d\times…

Let $\sigma(u)$, $u\in \mathbb{R}$ be an ergodic stationary Markov chain, taking a finite number of values $a_1,...,a_m$, and $b(u)=g(\sigma(u))$, where $g$ is a bounded and measurable function. We consider the diffusion type process $$…

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Let $\Xi_n \subset \mathbb R^d$, $n\ge 1$, be a sequence of finite sets and consider a $\Xi_n$-valued, irreducible, reversible, continuous-time Markov chain $(X^{(n)}_t:t\ge 0)$. Denote by $\mathscr P(\mathbb R^d) $ the set of probability…

The analysis of the dynamics of a large class of excitable systems on locally tree-like networks leads to the conclusion that at $\lambda=1$ a continuous phase transition takes place, where $\lambda$ is the largest eigenvalue of the…

Strong invariance principles in Markov chain Monte Carlo are crucial to theoretically grounded output analysis. Using the wide-sense regenerative nature of the process, we obtain explicit bounds in the strong invariance converging rates for…

Exponential random graphs are used extensively in the sociology literature. This model seeks to incorporate in random graphs the notion of reciprocity, that is, the larger than expected number of triangles and other small subgraphs.…

We study the N-step binary stationary ergodic Markov chain and analyze its differential entropy. Supposing that the correlations are weak we express the conditional probability function of the chain through the pair correlation function and…

Let $A$ be a finite set and $\phi:A^Z\to R$ be a locally constant potential. For each $\beta>0$ ("inverse temperature"), there is a unique Gibbs measure $\mu_{\beta\phi}$. We prove that, as $\beta\to+\infty$, the family…

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…