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We consider evaluating improper priors in a formal Bayes setting according to the consequences of their use. Let $\Phi$ be a class of functions on the parameter space and consider estimating elements of $\Phi$ under quadratic loss. If the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-07 Brian P. Shea , Galin L. Jones

We consider evaluation of proper posterior distributions obtained from improper prior distributions. Our context is estimating a bounded function $\phi$ of a parameter when the loss is quadratic. If the posterior mean of $\phi$ is…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-10 Morris L. Eaton , James P. Hobert , Galin L. Jones , Wen-Lin Lai

We consider a family of measure preserving transformations, which act on a common probability space and are chosen at random by a stationary ergodic Markov chain. This setting defines an instance of a random dynamical system (RDS), which…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-27 Pablo Lummerzheim , Felix Pogorzelski , Elias Zimmermann

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

For a class of irreducible Markov chains with an infinitely countable set of states, we establish a new verifiable necessary and sufficient condition for recurrence and transience. We show that if one of the basic assumptions is not…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-08 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

We propose a simple criterion, inspired from the irreducible aperiodic Markov chains, to derive the exponential convergence of general positive semi-groups. When not checkable on the whole state space, it can be combined to the use of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-09 Bertrand Cloez , Pierre Gabriel

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

It is shown that transient graphs for the simple random walk do not admit a nearest neighbor transient Markov chain (not necessarily a reversible one), that crosses all edges with positive probability, while there is such chain for the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-15 Itai Benjamini , Jonathan Hermon

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

We consider general Markov chains with discrete time in an arbitrary measurable (phase) space and homogeneous in time. Markov chains are defined by the classical transition function which within the framework of the operator treatment…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-17 Alexander I. Zhdanok

We study limit theorems for partial sums of instantaneous functions of a homogeneous Markov chain on a general state space. The summands are heavy-tailed and the limits are stable distributions. The conditions imposed on the transition…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-14 Mohamed El Machkouri , Adam Jakubowski , Dalibor Volný

We establish the weak large deviations principle for empirical measures of Markov chains on $\mathbb R^d$ under mild assumptions. In particular, no irreducibility is assumed and the initial measure may be arbitrary. The proof is entirely…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-24 Léo Daures

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

We introduce the notion of order of magnitude reversibility (OM-reversibility) in Markov chains that are parametrized by a positive parameter $\ep$. OM-reversibility is a weaker condition than reversibility, and requires only the knowledge…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-26 Badal Joshi

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

Motivated by Feller's coin-tossing problem, we consider the problem of conditioning an irreducible Markov chain never to wait too long at 0. Denoting by $\tau$ the first time that the chain, $X$, waits for at least one unit of time at the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-23 Saul Jacka

Let $(X_t)_{t = 0 }^{\infty}$ be an irreducible reversible discrete time Markov chain on a finite state space $\Omega $. Denote its transition matrix by $P$. To avoid periodicity issues (and thus ensuring convergence to equilibrium) one…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-29 Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

Aldous-Broder algorithm is a famous algorithm used to sample a uniform spanning tree of any finite connected graph $G$, but it is more general: given an irreducible and reversible Markov chain $M$ on $G$ started at $r$, the tree rooted at…

组合数学 · 数学 2022-06-22 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert
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