相关论文: Parameter Estimation in Manneville-Pomeau Processe…

In this paper we study the randomized non-autonomous complete linear differential equation. The diffusion coefficient and the source term in the differential equation are assumed to be stochastic processes and the initial condition is…

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

The asymptotic behavior, as $T\to\infty$, of some functionals of the form $I_T(t)=F_T(\xi_T(t))+\int_0^tg_T(\xi_T(s))\,dW_T(s)$, $t\ge0$ is studied. Here $\xi_T(t)$ is the solution to the time-inhomogeneous It\^{o} stochastic differential…

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

This paper proves that, under a monotonicity condition, the invariant probability measure of a McKean--Vlasov process can be approximated by weighted empirical measures of some processes including itself. These processes are described by…

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

In this article, we introduce the parametrix technique in order to construct fundamental solutions as a general method based on semigroups and their generators. This leads to a probabilistic interpretation of the parametrix method that is…

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

We obtain complementary recurrence and transience criteria for processes $X=(X_n)_{n \ge 0}$ with values in $\mathbb R^d_+$ fulfilling a non-linear equation $X_{n+1}=MX_n+g(X_n)+ \xi_{n+1}$. Here $M$ denotes a primitive matrix having…

We develop a general approach to estimating the derivative of a function-valued parameter $\theta_o(u)$ that is identified for every value of $u$ as the solution to a moment condition. This setup in particular covers many interesting models…

We consider a L\'evy driven continuous time moving average process $X$ sampled at random times which follow a renewal structure independent of $X$. Asymptotic normality of the sample mean, the sample autocovariance, and the sample…

Let {X_{t_1,t_2}: t_1,t_2 >= 0} be a two-parameter L\'evy process on R^d. We study basic properties of the one-parameter process {X_{x(t),y(t)}: t \in T} where x and y are, respectively, nondecreasing and nonincreasing nonnegative…

The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…

The paper contains sufficient conditions on the function $f$ and the stochastic process $X$ that supply the rate of divergence of the integral functional $\int_0^Tf(X_t)^2dt$ at the rate $T^{1-\epsilon}$ as $T\to\infty$ for every…

We consider a family of stochastic processes $\{X_t^\epsilon, t \in T\}$ on a metric space $T$, with a parameter $\epsilon \downarrow 0$. We study the conditions under which \lim_{\e \to 0} \P \Big(\sup_{t \in T} |X_t^\e| < \delta \Big) =1…

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Assuming that a stochastic process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is a sum of a compound Poisson process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\geq 0}$ with known intensity $\lambda$ and unknown jump size density $f,$ and an independent Brownian motion $Z=(Z_t)_{t\geq 0},$ we…

We propose a finite-size scaling analysis of binary stochastic processes $X(t)\in \{0,1\}$ based on the second moment correlation length $\xi$ for the autocorrelation function $C(t)$. The purpose is to clarify the critical properties and…

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…