相关论文: Parameter Estimation in Manneville-Pomeau Processe…

Consider $n$ independent Goldstein-Kac telegraph processes $X_1(t), \dots ,X_n(t), \; n\ge 2, \; t\ge 0,$ on the real line $\Bbb R$. Each the process $X_k(t), \; k=1,\dots,n,$ describes a stochastic motion at constant finite speed $c_k>0$…

We study a class of stochastic processes of the type $\frac{d^n x}{dt^n}= v_0\, \sigma(t)$ where $n>0$ is a positive integer and $\sigma(t)=\pm 1$ represents an `active' telegraphic noise that flips from one state to the other with a…

For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

In simulations of multiscale dynamical systems, not all relevant processes can be resolved explicitly. Taking the effect of the unresolved processes into account is important, which introduces the need for paramerizations. We present a…

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

We propose a new Monte Carlo method for efficiently sampling trajectories with fixed initial and final conditions in a system with discrete degrees of freedom. The method can be applied to any stochastic process with local interactions,…

Consider a first-order autoregressive process $X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i,$ where $\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots)$ and $\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z}$ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference…

We introduce a parameter estimation method that utilizes microscopic data, specifically averages and correlations of selected microscopic observables, to determine the parameters of a stochastic differential equation governing…

We discuss two approaches to solving the parametric (or stochastic) eigenvalue problem. One of them uses a Taylor expansion and the other a Chebyshev expansion. The parametric eigenvalue problem assumes that the matrix $A$ depends on a…

Let $X$ be a point process and let $\mathbb{X}$ denote the filtration generated by $X$. In this paper we study martingale representation theorems in the filtration $\mathbb{G}$ obtained as an initial and progressive enlargement of the…

We present a numerical method to compute expectations of functionals of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We discuss time dependent functionals as well as deterministic time horizon problems. Our approach is based on the…

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

We consider a continuous time version of Cramer's theorem with nonnegative summands $ S_t=\frac{1}{t}\sum_{i:\tau_i\le t}\xi_i, t \to\infty, $ where $(\tau_i,\xi_i)_{i\ge 1}$ is a sequence of random variables such that $tS_t$ is a random…

Diffusion processes are widely used for modelling real-world phenomena. Except for select cases however, analytical expressions do not exist for a diffusion process' transitional probabilities. It is proposed that the cumulant truncation…

We elaborate on a deconvolution method, used to estimate the empirical distribution of unknown parameters, as suggested recently by Efron (2013). It is applied to estimating the empirical distribution of the 'sampling probabilities' of m…

Suppose $X=\{X_t, t\ge 0\}$ is a supercritical superprocess. Let $\phi$ be the non-negative eigenfunction of the mean semigroup of $X$ corresponding to the principal eigenvalue $\lambda>0$. Then $M_t(\phi)=e^{-\lambda t}\langle\phi,…

Let $T$ be an underlying space with a non-atomic measure $\sigma$ on it (e.g. $T=\mathbb R^d$ and $\sigma$ is the Lebesgue measure). We introduce and study a class of non-commutative generalized stochastic processes, indexed by points of…