English

Marked empirical processes for non-stationary time series

Statistics Theory 2013-12-12 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Consider a first-order autoregressive process Xi=βXi1+εi,X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i, where εi=G(ηi,ηi1,)\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots) and ηi,iZ\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z} are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference of this model, namely, the quantile inference for H0:β=1H_0: \beta=1, and the goodness-of-fit for the unit root model, the notion of the marked empirical process αn(x)=1ni=1ng(Xi/an)I(εix),xR\alpha_n(x)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^ng(X_i/a_n)I(\varepsilon_i\leq x),x\in\mathbb{R} is investigated in this paper. Herein, g()g(\cdot) is a continuous function on R\mathbb{R} and {an}\{a_n\} is a sequence of self-normalizing constants. As the innovation {εi}\{\varepsilon_i\} is usually not observable, the residual marked empirical process α^n(x)=1ni=1ng(Xi/an)I(ε^i\leqx),xR,\hat {\alpha}_n(x)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^ng(X_i/a_n)I(\hat{\varepsilon}_i\l eq x),x\in\mathbb{R}, is considered instead, where ε^i=Xiβ^Xi1\hat{\varepsilon}_i=X_i-\hat{\beta}X_{i-1} and β^\hat{\beta} is a consistent estimate of β.\beta. In particular, via the martingale decomposition of stationary process and the stochastic integral result of Jakubowski (Ann. Probab. 24 (1996) 2141-2153), the limit distributions of αn(x)\alpha_n(x) and α^n(x)\hat{\alpha}_n(x) are established when {εi}\{\varepsilon_i\} is a short-memory process. Furthermore, by virtue of the results of Wu (Bernoulli 95 (2003) 809-831) and Ho and Hsing (Ann. Statist. 24 (1996) 992-1024) of empirical process and the integral result of Mikosch and Norvai\v{s}a (Bernoulli 6 (2000) 401-434) and Young (Acta Math. 67 (1936) 251-282), the limit distributions of αn(x)\alpha_n(x) and α^n(x)\hat{\alpha}_n(x) are also derived when {εi}\{\varepsilon_i\} is a long-memory process.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1312.3120,
  title  = {Marked empirical processes for non-stationary time series},
  author = {Ngai Hang Chan and Rongmao Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1312.3120},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/12-BEJ444 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm)

R2 v1 2026-06-22T02:25:21.604Z