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We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

In this paper, we considier the limiting distribution of the maximum interpoint Euclidean distance $M_n=\max _{1 \leq i<j \leq n}\left\|\boldsymbol{X}_i-\boldsymbol{X}_j\right\|$, where $\boldsymbol{X}_1, \boldsymbol{X}_2, \ldots,…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Guowei Yan , Long Feng

Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$, and an observable $\phi:X\to\mathbb{R}$. For the time series $X_n(x)=\phi(T^{n}(x))$, we establish limit laws for the maximum process $M_n=\max_{k\leq n}X_k$ in the case…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-13 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol

Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-19 William Cooperman , Gautam Iyer , James Nolen

It is shown by constructing Rohlins canonical measures that for a strictly stationary, d-dimensional vector-valued process X there exists another strictly stationary d-dimensional process U with uniform one-dimensional marginals and with…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-10 Manfred Denker

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ be $n$ independent and identically distributed random variables, here $n \geq 2.$ Let $X_{(1)}, X_{(2)}, \ldots, X_{(n)}$ be the order statistics of $X_1, X_2,..., X_n.$ In this note we proved that: (I) If $X_1,…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-04 Robert W. Chen

We use a recently found parametrization of the solutions of the inverse Frobenius-Perron problem within the class of complete unimodal maps to develop a Monte-Carlo approach for the construction of one-dimensional chaotic dynamical laws…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 F. K. Diakonos , D. Pingel , P. Schmelcher

Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

We provide formulas to compute the coefficients entering the affine scaling needed to get a non-degenerate function for the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of some kind of observable computed along the orbit of a randomly perturbed…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-07-26 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Pierre Guiraud , Sandro Vaienti

Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-30 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Somabha Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

We consider an irreducible pure jump Markov process with rates Q=(q(x,y)) on \Lambda\cup\{0\} with \Lambda countable and 0 an absorbing state. A quasi-stationary distribution (qsd) is a probability measure \nu on \Lambda that satisfies:…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-09 Pablo A. Ferrari , Nevena Maric

Systems of a large number N of globally coupled maps have become popular as a relatively simple prototype of high-dimensional dynamics, showing many interesting and typical phenomena like synchronisation, cluster formation and…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Andreas Hamm

Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-02 Victor Korolev , Igor Sokolov , Andrey Gorshenin

Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-09-17 Tobias Grafke , Tobias Schäfer , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We develop the asymptotic expansion theory for vector-valued sequences (F N) N $\ge$1 of random variables in terms of the convergence of the Stein-Malliavin matrix associated to the sequence F N. Our approach combines the classical Fourier…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-11 Ciprian Tudor , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

We give the distribution function of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from an autoregressive process of order 2. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case, where the underlying random…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-02 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah