相关论文: Extreme values for Benedicks-Carleson quadratic ma…

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

We describe a Markov-Chain-Monte-Carlo algorithm which can be used to generate naturally labeled n-element posets at random with a probability distribution of one's choice. Implementing this algorithm for the uniform distribution, we…

We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

We consider powers of random matrices with independent entries. Let $X_{ij}, i,j\ge 1$, be independent complex random variables with $\E X_{ij}=0$ and $\E |X_{ij}|^2=1$ and let $\mathbf X$ denote an $n\times n$ matrix with $[\mathbf…

We consider a sequence $(\xi_n)_{n\ge1}$ of $i.i.d.$ random values living in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. For such sequence, there exists $(a_n)$ and $(b_n)$, with $a_n>0$ and $b_n\in\ER$ for every $n\ge 1$,…

Let $\mathbf{X}=\{X_{n}\}_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of stationary Gaussian variables and suppose that only some of the random variables from $\mathbf{X}$ can be observed. In this paper, by studying the limiting properties of multidimensional…

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Maximum likelihood estimations for the parameters of extreme value distributions are discussed in this paper using fixed point iteration. The commonly used numerical approach for addressing this problem is the Newton-Raphson approach which…

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

In this paper we present the distribution of the maximum of the asymmetric telegraph process in an arbitrary time interval $[0,t]$ under the conditions that the initial velocity $V(0)$ is either $c_1$ or $-c_2$ and the number of changes of…

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be independent identically distributed random variables with $\mathbb E X_k=0$, $\mathrm{Var} X_k=1$. Suppose that $\varphi(t):=\log \mathbb E e^{t X_k}<\infty$ for all $t>-\sigma_0$ and some $\sigma_0>0$. Let…

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…

The main objective of this paper is to develop extreme value theory for $\vartheta$-expansions. We establish the limit distribution of the maximum value in a $\vartheta$-continued fraction mixing stationary stochastic process, along with…