概率论

Detection of correlation in a pair of random graphs is a fundamental statistical and computational problem that has been extensively studied in recent years. In this work, we consider a pair of correlated (sparse) stochastic block models…

Spherical spin random fields are used to model the Cosmic Microwave Background polarization, the study of which is at the heart of modern Cosmology and will be the subject of the LITEBIRD mission, in the 2030s. Its scope is to collect datas…

We extend Bobkov and Chistyakov's (2015) upper bounds on concentration functions of sums of independent random variables to a multivariate entropic setting. The approach is based on pointwise estimates on densities of sums of independent…

Fix an integer $p\geq 1$ and refer to it as the number of growing domains. For each $i\in\{1,\ldots,p\}$, fix a compact subset $D_i\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_i}$ where $d_1,\ldots,d_p\ge 1$. Let $d= d_1+\dots+d_{p}$ be the total underlying…

We provide criteria for It\^o integration to behave continuously with respect to Skorokhod's J1 and M1 topologies, when the integrands and integrators converge weakly or in probability. The results are novel in the M1 setting and unify…

We prove that the tail probabilities of sums of independent uniform random variables, up to a multiplicative constant, are dominated by the Gaussian tail with matching variance and find the sharp constant for such stochastic domination.

This paper investigates the long-time asymptotics and the existence of stationary solutions for a class of stochastic Volterra equations (SVEs). To address the non-Markovian nature of SVEs, we employ a Markovian lifting technique,…

We provide an algebraic unification of the spectral gap proofs of the convergence of the renormalised model for regularity structures. We show that the key recentering map used in the literature for adjusting the recentering of the model is…

We prove that for supercritical percolation on every infinite transitive graph, the probability that the origin belongs to a finite cluster of size at least $n$ decays exponentially in $\Phi(n)$, where $\Phi$ is the isoperimetric function…

We study the stochastic heat flow with constant initial data and analyze its spatial average on the scale of $\varepsilon\ll1$. We prove that the logarithm of the averaged process satisfies a pointwise central limit theorem: After being…

We establish universal approximation theorems for infinite-dimensional geometric rough paths, i.e., we show that continuous functions on the space of infinite-dimensional weakly geometric H\"older continuous rough paths can be approximated…

Consider an SI process on a graph $G$ where each S--I connection becomes I--I at rate $\lambda$. Here S and I stand for ``susceptible'' and ``infected'' respectively. The evoSI model is a modification of the SI model in which S--I edges are…

We study a one-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation (SDE) with a drift equal to a product of a distribution depending on the state of the process and a non-linear function depending pointwise on the law density of the…

By constructing a suitable coupling by change of measures, the asymptotic log- Harnack inequality is established for a class of degenerate SPDEs with reflection. This inequality implies the asymptotic heat kernel estimate, the uniqueness of…

We revisit the problem of bounding the expected supremum of a canonical Gaussian process indexed by a convex set $T \subset \mathbf{R}^d$. We develop two decompositions for the Gaussian width, based on the geometry of the index set. The…

Probabilistic properties of tennis scoring systems are examined and compared with best-of-K systems. A model, where each player has his/her own probability of winning his/her service point and which remains invariant for the duration of the…

We derive an upper bound for the annealed return probability for the simple random walk on supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees. The bound decays subexponentially in time $t$ with $t^{1/3}$ in the exponent. It is valid for all…

In this note, we prove the Almost Sure Central Limit Theorem (ASCLT) for the spatial integral of the solution of the hyperbolic Anderson model driven by the L\'evy colored noise introduced in Balan (2015). For this, we use the central limit…

In this paper we prove Aldous's conjecture from 1987 that there is no backoff protocol that is stable for any positive arrival rate. The setting is a communication channel for coordinating requests for a shared resource. Each user who wants…

Intermittent demand fluctuations pose significant challenges in disaster logistics and medical supply systems. In this study, we formulate cumulative demand as a generalized L\'evy process composed of a drift term, Poisson jumps, and…