概率论

This paper extends the study of fringe trees in random plane trees with a given degree statistic. While previous work established the asymptotic normality of the count of fringe trees isomorphic to a fixed tree, we investigate the case…

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}$ in a varying environment. Let $\{W_n\}$ be the natural martingale $Z_n/{\bf E}Z_n$. It converges to some random variable $W$ as $n\to\infty$. An important problem is to show that ${\bf P}(W>0)$ equals…

We study pathwise $p$-th variation of continuous paths on a compact interval along a fixed partition sequence. Although the class of continuous paths with finite $p$-th variation is generally not linear, we develop a coefficient-based…

Random hypergraphs extend the classical notion of random graphs by allowing hyperedges to join more than two vertices, making them well-suited for modeling higher-order interactions in complex systems. Despite their broad applicability,…

We study a two-dimensional incompressible vorticity equation on the torus driven by transport-type fractional Brownian noise with Hurst parameter $H \in (1/2,1)$. The model captures persistent, long-range correlated forcing consistent with…

By extending the Johnson--Barron projection method from one dimension to high dimensions and utilizing a Wang type dimension-free Harnack inequality, we obtain a new quantitative bound for the entropic central limit theorem under the…

We investigate the second volume moment of the zero cell $Z_o$ of a Poisson hyperplane tessellation with intensity $\gamma$ in the $d$-dimensional hyperbolic space. We focus on the phase transition at the critical intensity…

We consider the persistence probabilities of an autoregressive chain of order one with continuous innovations. In the case of positive drifts, we show that these persistence probabilities are compound-geometric and satisfy a Baxter-Spitzer…

We obtain quantitative estimates on quenched propagation of chaos for Langevin spin glass dynamics with i.i.d. disorder. Prior work in the case of Gaussian disorder established the qualitative convergence of the law of a single spin to a…

This paper establishes that the survival probability in the non-life Cram\'{e}r--Lundberg insurance model with proportional investment is a classical $C^2$-solution of the associated integro-differential equation under minimal moment…

A graphon is said to have the $H$-property if a random undirected graph $G_n$ on $n$ nodes sampled from it has a node-wise disjoint cycle cover almost surely as $n\to\infty$. It has been shown in the earlier work that the $H$-property obeys…

This work establishes a large deviation principle for the spectral measure of the Lax matrix associated to the periodic Toda chain of $N$ particles, subject to a generalised Gibbs measure. This large deviation principle is governed by a…

We establish a sharp lower bound on the spectral gap of the biased adjacent-transposition Markov chain on the symmetric group. As a consequence, we resolve a longstanding conjecture of Fill, proving that among all regular probability…

We establish a quenched functional central limit theorem for the total number of components of random partitions induced by Chinese restaurant process with parameters $(\alpha,\theta), \alpha\in(0,1), \theta>-\alpha$. With $P_j$ denoting…

We explore the limit of stochastic differential equations driven by some random processes satisfying singularly perturbed second order stochastic differential equations. The main tool we employ is the universal limit theorem in rough path…

This paper focuses on the optimal control of a class of stochastic Volterra integral equations. Here the coefficients are regular and not assumed to be of convolution type. We show that, under mild regularity assumptions, these equations…

We study the asymptotic diameter of the preferential attachment model $\operatorname{PA}\!_n^{(m,\delta)}$ with parameters $m \ge 2$ and $\delta > 0$. Building on the recent work \cite{VZ25}, we prove that the diameter of $G_n \sim…

Many key quantities in statistics and probability theory such as the expectation, quantiles, expectiles and many risk measures are law-determined maps from a space of random variables to the reals. We call such a law-determined map, which…

This note is an addendum to the work initiated by Eberlein, Kabanov, and Schmidt and developed further by Kabanov and Promyslov on the asymptotics of the ruin probabilities in the Sparre Andersen model with investments in a risky asset.…

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…