概率论

We examine a discrete model of sticky particles initially subjected to acceleration. We propose a novel generalized variational principle for characterizing clusters (i.e., particle agglomerations) under decreasing acceleration function.…

Continuity of measure asserts that the measure of the union of an increasing sequence of sets is equal to the supremum of the measures of those sets. We provide counter examples in the case of uncountable unions. We construct the first…

There has not been an established mathematical measure of evidence. Some Bayesians have argued that probability can be an objectively correct measure of ``rational degrees of belief,'' which we do not distinguish from evidence. However,…

In the context of two-dimensional large-$N$ lattice Yang--Mills theory, we perform a refined study of the surface sums defined in the companion work [BCSK24]. In this setting, the surface sums are a priori expected to exhibit significant…

We introduce the framework of quadratic-form optimal transport (QOT), whose transport cost has the form $\iint c\,\mathrm{d}\pi \otimes\mathrm{d}\pi$ for some coupling $\pi$ between two marginals. Interesting examples of quadratic-form…

It is a well-known conjecture in $\beta$-models and in their discrete counterpart that, generically, external potentials should be ``off-critical'' (or, equivalently, ``regular''). Exploiting the connection between minimizing measures and…

We introduce and develop the concepts of Geometric Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (GBSDEs, for short) and two-driver BSDEs. We demonstrate their natural suitability for modeling continuous-time dynamic return risk measures. We…

We compute the large size limit of the moment formula derived in \cite{DHS} for the Hermitian Jacobi process at fixed time. Our computations rely on the polynomial division algorithm which allows to obtain cancellations similar to those…

The Horton-Strahler number -- also called the register function -- is a combinatorial tool that quantifies the branching complexity of a rooted tree. We study the law of the Horton-Strahler number of stable Galton-Watson trees conditioned…

We consider $h$-stable local optima of Ising spin glass models, defined as spin configurations such that for nearly all of the spins, flipping their values results in increasing energy by at least a given amount $h$. Spins satisfying this…

We investigate asymptotic probabilistic phenomena arising from the application of the Schensted row insertion algorithm, a key component of the Robinson-Schensted-Knuth (RSK) correspondence, to random inputs. Our analysis centers on a…

In order to study convergences of looptrees, we construct continuum trees and looptrees from real-valued c\`adl\`ag functions without negative jumps called excursions. We then provide a toolbox to manipulate the two resulting codings of…

We construct a new family of random permutons, called skew Brownian permuton, which describes the limits of several models of random constrained permutations. This family is parametrized by two real parameters. For a specific choice of the…

We propose and study a new model for competitions, specifically sports multi-player leagues where the initial strengths of the teams are independent i.i.d. random variables that evolve during different days of the league according to…

Baxter permutations, plane bipolar orientations, and a specific family of walks in the non-negative quadrant, called tandem walks, are well-known to be related to each other through several bijections. We introduce a further new family of…

We introduce the notion of weak decreasing stochastic (WDS) ordering for real-valued processes with negative means, which, to our knowledge, has not been studied before. Thanks to Madan-Yor's argument, it follows that the WDS ordering is a…

We use multivariate total positivity theory to exhibit new families of peacocks. As the authors of \cite{HPRY}, our guiding example is the result of Carr-Ewald-Xiao \cite{CEX}. We shall introduce the notion of strong conditional…

We provide an equivalent log-concavity condition to the mean residual life (MRL) ordering for real-valued processes. This result, combined with classical properties of total positivity of order 2, allows to exhibit new families of…

We study the limit shape of the boundary of the leaky sandpile model on isoradial graphs. These graphs are equipped with conductances and masses introduced by Boutillier, de Tili\`ere and Raschel, which are defined with the help of the…

We study the competing urn model in which $m$ balls are placed independently into $n$ urns according to (possibly distinct) ball distributions. Kahn and Neiman (2010) showed that, under identical ball distributions, the induced urn measure…