概率论

We begin our journey by recalling the fundamentals of Probability Theory that underlie one of its most significant applications to real-world problems: Parametric Estimation. Throughout the text, we systematically develop this theme by…

We conclude our work [arXiv:2403.07628, arXiv:2503.12644] on asymptotic expansions at the soft edge for the classical $n$-dimensional Gaussian and Laguerre ensembles, now studying the gap-probability generating functions. We show that the…

In this work, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of integral functionals of stationary Gaussian random fields as the integration domain tends to be the whole space. More precisely, using the Wiener chaos expansion and Malliavin-Stein…

We investigate the large deviation principle (LDP) of the stationary solutions of stochastic functional differential equations (SFDEs) with infinite delay under small random perturbation. First, we demonstrate the existence and uniqueness…

We introduce two families of random tridiagonal block matrices for which the joint eigenvalue distributions can be computed explicitly. These distributions are novel within random matrix theory, and exhibit interactions among eigenvalue…

We construct an almost sure bijection that recovers the directed landscape on the half-plane from a sequence of independent Brownian motions. This map is the natural scaling limit of the Robinson--Schensted--Knuth (RSK) correspondence. The…

In graph bootstrap percolation, edges of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph ${\mathcal G}_{n,p}$ are initially active. Activation spreads to other edges of the complete graph $K_n$ by an iterative process governed by a fixed graph $H$,…

Classical bond percolation theory studies the conditions for a given point in a random graph to be connected to infinity, or "escape" to infinity, via a sequence of random edges. In this work, we present a higher-dimensional generalization…

We show that Glauber dynamics for $ p$-spin glass mixes exponentially slowly at inverse temperatures larger than a constant times $ \ln (p)/p $ for large enough $ p $. This is done by analyzing the energy landscape using Gaussian…

Using the multi-index approach to regularity structures due to F. Otto et al., we construct a regularity structure and a model for it associated to the stochastic Langevin equation for the 3D Euclidean Yang-Mills functional. For the model…

We study three nonmonotone coupon-collector models through a stationary-entry viewpoint. In such models the all-present state is not absorbing, so completion is governed not by the disappearance of a monotone terminal cloud but by rare new…

We investigate the structural properties of the last passage time $\sigma_z^{\lambda}$ at level $z > 0$ of a Brownian motion with positive drift $\lambda > 0$, denoted $B^{\lambda} = (B_t + \lambda t)_{t \geq 0}$, in the filtration…

We consider a generalisation of the classical coupon collector's problem, in which at each time step a collector either receives a new copy of a randomly chosen coupon, or loses all their previously collected copies of that coupon. We…

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

We study an online vector balancing problem, in which $n$ independent Gaussian random vectors $\boldsymbol{\zeta}(1),\dots,\boldsymbol{\zeta}(n) \sim \mathcal{N}(0, I_n)$, each of dimension $n$, arrive one at a time. The goal is to choose…

Consider an infinite, rooted, connected graph where each vertex is labelled with an independent and identically distributed Uniform(0,1) random variable, plus a parameter $\theta$ times its distance from the root $\rho$. That is, we label…

Motivated by its appearance as a limiting distribution for random and non-random sums of independent random variables, in this paper we develop Stein's method for approximation by the asymmetric Laplace distribution. Our results generalise…

We study the large deviations of Markov chains under the sole assumption that the state space is discrete. In particular, we do not require any of the usual irreducibility and exponential tightness assumptions. Using subadditive arguments,…

The Monge-Amp\`ere gravitation theory (MAG) was introduced by Brenier in 2011 to obtain an approximate solution of the early Universe reconstruction problem. It is a modification of Newtonian gravitation which is based on quadratic optimal…

We study the genealogies of samples of $k$ distinguished particles drawn from the population alive at some fixed time in a continuous-time multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (MBGW) process under two different type dependent sampling…