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Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-03 Filip Lindskog , Abhishek Pal Majumder

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

In quantitative finance, modeling the volatility structure of underlying assets is vital to pricing options. Rough stochastic volatility models, such as the rough Bergomi model [Bayer, Friz, Gatheral, Quantitative Finance 16(6), 887-904,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-16 Christian Bayer , Eric Joseph Hall , Raúl Tempone

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

This study develops an integrated stochastic modeling framework for pricing short and medium-maturity equity options and assessing interest-rate risk using the Heston (1993), Bates (1996), and CIR (1985) models. We calibrate the Heston…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-28 Nunik Srikandi Putri , Ajay Kumar Verma , Neo Paul Lesupi

It is shown that the exact dynamics of a composite quantum system can be represented through a pair of product states which evolve according to a Markovian random jump process. This representation is used to design a general Monte Carlo…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Heinz-Peter Breuer

This work considers a stochastic model in which the uncertainty is driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion. The market price of risk process makes the transition between real world probability measure and risk neutral probability…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-04 Traian A. Pirvu , Ulrich G. Haussmann

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

We introduce a variant of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility model where the non Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes some measure of trading intensity like trading volume or number of trades instead of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

ODE solvers with randomly sampled timestep sizes appear in the context of chaotic dynamical systems, differential equations with low regularity, and, implicitly, in stochastic optimisation. In this work, we propose and study the stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-05 Jonas Latz

We address the problem of parameter estimation for diffusion driven stochastic volatility models through Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). To avoid degeneracy issues we introduce an innovative reparametrisation defined through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-02 Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Gareth O. Roberts , Petros Dellaportas

We compute and discuss the Esscher martingale transform for exponential processes, the Esscher martingale transform for linear processes, the minimal martingale measure, the class of structure preserving martingale measures, and the minimum…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Carlo Sgarra

We consider an asset whose risk-neutral dynamics are described by a general class of local-stochastic volatility models and derive a family of asymptotic expansions for European-style option prices and implied volatilities. Our implied…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-01 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

Different investment strategies are adopted in short-term and long-term depending on the time scales, even though time scales are adhoc in nature. Empirical mode decomposition based Hurst exponent analysis and variance technique have been…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-10 Ajit Mahata , Md Nurujjaman

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus