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A scalar Langevin-type process $X(t)$ that is driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise $\eta(t)$ is non-Markovian. However, the joint dynamics of $X$ and $\eta$ is described by a Markov process in two dimensions. But even though there exists a…

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of…

Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the…

Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with various forms of stochastic volatility have become increasingly popular in empirical macroeconomics. One main difficulty for practitioners is to choose the most suitable stochastic volatility…

In this paper, we consider daily financial data of a collection of different stock market indices, exchange rates, and interest rates, and we analyze their multi-scaling properties by estimating a simple specification of the…

We present a number of related comparison results, which allow to compare moment explosion times, moment generating functions and critical moments between rough and non-rough Heston models of stochastic volatility. All results are based on…

In Figueroa-L\'opez et al. (2013), a second order approximation for at-the-money (ATM) option prices is derived for a large class of exponential L\'evy models, with or without a Brownian component. The purpose of this article is twofold.…

The Heston stochastic-local volatility model, consisting of a asset price process and a Cox--Ingersoll--Ross-type variance process, offers a wide range of applications in the financial industry. The pursuit for efficient model evaluation…

We present a systematic way to analyze and model systems having many characteristic time-scales. The method we propose is employed for a test-case of a meandering jet model manifesting chaotic tracer dispersion with long time-correlations.…

In this paper we consider an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process $(M(t))_{t\geqslant 0}$ whose parameters are determined by an external Markov process $(X(t))_{t\geqslant 0}$ on a finite state space $\{1,\ldots,d\}$; this process is usually…

We present a stochastic volatility market model where volatility is correlated with return and is represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. With this model we exactly measure the leverage effect and other stylized facts, such as mean…

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an It\^o-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the…

A stochastic process $X$ becomes occupied when it is enlarged with its occupation flow $\mathcal{O}$ that tracks the time spent by the path at each level. When $X$ is Markov, the occupied process $(\mathcal{O},X)$ enjoys a Markov structure…

This paper investigates the continuous-time limit of score-driven models with long memory. By extending score-driven models to incorporate infinite-lag structures with coefficients exhibiting heavy-tailed decay, we establish their weak…

The Stochastic Liouville-von Neumann equation provides an exact numerical simulation strategy for quantum systems interacting with Gaussian reservoirs [J.T. Stockburger & H. Grabert, PRL 88, 170407 (2002)]. Its scaling with the extension of…

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple time-frequency decomposed realized volatility measures, we study the…

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…