English

Analyzing a stochastic process driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2018-01-17 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

A scalar Langevin-type process X(t)X(t) that is driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise η(t)\eta(t) is non-Markovian. However, the joint dynamics of XX and η\eta is described by a Markov process in two dimensions. But even though there exists a variety of techniques for the analysis of Markov processes, it is still a challenge to estimate the process parameters solely based on a given time series of XX. Such a partially observed 2D-process could, e.g., be analyzed in a Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Alternatively, an embedding strategy can be applied, where first the joint dynamic of XX and its temporal derivative X˙\dot X is analyzed. Subsequently the results can be used to determine the process parameters of XX and η\eta. In this paper, we propose a more direct approach that is purely based on the moments of the increments of XX, which can be estimated for different time-increments τ\tau from a given time series. From a stochastic Taylor-expansion of XX, analytic expressions for these moments can be derived, which can be used to estimate the process parameters by a regression strategy.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1702.00032,
  title  = {Analyzing a stochastic process driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise},
  author = {B. Lehle and J. Peinke},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.00032},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

14 pages, 7 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T18:05:48.368Z