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This paper reports the effort of using agent-based mix-game model to predict financial time series. It introduces simple generic algorithm into the prediction methodology, and gives an example of its application to forecasting Shanghai…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Chengling Gou

In mix-game which is an extension of minority game, there are two groups of agents; group1 plays the majority game, but the group2 plays the minority game. This paper studies the change of the average winnings of agents and volatilities vs.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Chengling Gou

We propose a distributed algorithm for multiagent systems that aim to optimize a common objective when agents differ in their estimates of the objective-relevant state of the environment. Each agent keeps an estimate of the environment and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-10 Sina Arefizadeh , Ceyhun Eksin

In this work we consider an agent based model in order to study the wealth distribution problem where the interchange is determined with a symmetric zero sum game. Simultaneously, the agents update their way of play trying to learn the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-12 Juan Pablo Pinasco , Mauro Rodriguez Cartabia , Nicolas Saintier

In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents - by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-10-13 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth , Michal Hnatich

In this paper, we study the problem of learning the skill distribution of a population of agents from observations of pairwise games in a tournament. These games are played among randomly drawn agents from the population. The agents in our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Ali Jadbabaie , Anuran Makur , Devavrat Shah

We consider the dynamics of player's strategies in repeated market games, where the selection of strategies is determined by a learning model. Prior theoretical analysis and experimental data show that after large number of plays the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2015-09-21 Misha Perepelitsa

We study the poor-biased model for money exchange introduced in [2]: agents are being randomly picked at a rate proportional to their current wealth, and then the selected agent gives a dollar to another agent picked uniformly at random.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-15 Roberto Cortez , Fei Cao

We investigate the dynamics of the choice of an active strategy in the minority game. A history distribution is introduced as an analytical tool to study the asymmetry between the two choices offered to the agents. Its properties are…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-31 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

We look at how asset exchange models can be mapped to random iterated function systems (IFS) giving new insights into the dynamics of wealth accumulation in such models. In particular, we focus on the "yard-sale" (winner gets a random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Sitabhra Sinha

Evolution of distribution of strategies in game theory is an interesting question that has been studied only for specific cases. Here I develop a general method to extend analysis of the evolution of continuous strategy distributions given…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-03-16 Georgiy Karev

We study a multi-agent decision problem in population games, where agents select from multiple available strategies and continually revise their selections based on the payoffs associated with these strategies. Unlike conventional…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Shinkyu Park

In financial markets, agents often mutually influence each other's investment strategies and adjust their strategies to align with others. However, there is limited quantitative study of agents' investment strategies in such scenarios. In…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-27 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

Two-time-scale stochastic approximation is a popular iterative method for finding the solution of a system of two equations. Such methods have found broad applications in many areas, especially in machine learning and reinforcement…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-12-24 Thinh T. Doan , Justin Romberg

This work develops effective distributed strategies for the solution of constrained multi-agent stochastic optimization problems with coupled parameters across the agents. In this formulation, each agent is influenced by only a subset of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-15 Sulaiman A. Alghunaim , Ali H. Sayed

Economic ensembles can be modeled as networks of interacting agents whose be-haviors are described in terms of game theory. The evolutionary paradigm has been applied to two-person games to discover strategies in this context.…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

Adaptive populations such as those in financial markets and distributed control can be modeled by the Minority Game. We consider how their dynamics depends on the agents' initial preferences of strategies, when the agents use linear or…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 H. M. Yang , Y. S. Ting , K. Y. Michael Wong

This paper studies the correlations of the average winnings of agents and the volatilities of systems based on mix-game model which is an extension of minority game (MG). In mix-game, there are two groups of agents; group1 plays the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Chengling Gou

We introduce a new class of context dependent, incomplete information games to serve as structured prediction models for settings with significant strategic interactions. Our games map the input context to outcomes by first condensing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-30 Vikas K. Garg , Tommi Jaakkola

We construct a diffusion approximation of a repeated game in which agents make bets on outcomes of i.i.d. random vectors and their strategies are close to an asymptotically optimal strategy. This model can be interpreted as trading in an…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-30 Mikhail Zhitlukhin
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