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We study the shape of the normalized stable L\'{e}vy tree $\mathcal{T}$ near its root. We show that, when zooming in at the root at the proper speed with a scaling depending on the index of stability, we get the unnormalized Kesten tree. In…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-01 Michel Nassif

A critical branching process $\left\{ Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment is considered. A conditional functional limit theorem for the properly scaled process $\left\{ \log Z_{pu},0\leq u<\infty \right\} $ is established…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process, we predict, in a $L_1$ sense, the last passage time of the process below zero before an independent exponential time. This optimal prediction problem generalises Baurdoux and Pedraza (2020) where…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-11 Erik J. Baurdoux , José M. Pedraza

We consider a new type of optimal stopping problems where the absorbing boundary moves as the state process X attains new maxima S. More specifically, we set the absorbing boundary as S-b where b is a certain constant. This problem is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-15 Masahiko Egami , Tadao Oryu

We show that the vertex-reinforced jump process on the $d$-dimensional lattice with long-range jumps is transient in any dimension $d$ as long as the initial weights do not decay too fast. The main ingredients in the proof are: an analysis…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Margherita Disertori , Franz Merkl , Silke W. W. Rolles

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

We obtain a new fluctuation identity for a general L\'{e}vy process giving a quintuple law describing the time of first passage, the time of the last maximum before first passage, the overshoot, the undershoot and the undershoot of the last…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney , A. E. Kyprianou

We give elementary and explicit sufficient conditions (in particular, a functional correlation bound) for deterministic homogenisation (convergence to a stochastic differential equation) for discrete-time fast-slow systems of the form \[…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-07-24 Nicholas Fleming-Vázquez

By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Maria Emilia Caballero , Loïc Chaumont

In this note, we consider the construction of a one-dimensional stable Langevin type process confined in the upper half-plane and submitted to reflective-diffusive boundary conditions whenever the particle position hits 0. We show that two…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-22 J. -F Jabir , C. Profeta

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

For a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ we establish conditions under which the inverse first-passage time problem has a solution for any random variable $\xi >0$. For Markov processes we give additional conditions under which the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-19 Alexander Klump , Mladen Savov

We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…

概率论 · 数学 2009-04-26 Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

In the paper average reward per unit time and average risk sensitive reward functionals are considered for controlled nonhomogeneous Markov processes. Existence of solutions to suitable Bellman equations is shown. Continuity of the value…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-19 Łukasz Stettner

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We consider the optimal prediction problem of stopping a spectrally negative L\'evy process as close as possible to a given distance $b \geq 0$ from its ultimate supremum, under a squared error penalty function. Under some mild conditions,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-04 Mónica B. Carvajal Pinto , Kees van Schaik

Let $X$ be a real valued L\'evy process that is in the domain of attraction of a stable law without centering with norming function $c.$ As an analogue of the random walk results in \cite{vw} and \cite{rad} we study the local behaviour of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-25 Ronald Doney , Victor Rivero

The value function of an optimal stopping problem for jump diffusions is known to be a generalized solution of a variational inequality. Assuming that the diffusion component of the process is nondegenerate and a mild assumption on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-03-16 Erhan Bayraktar , Hao Xing

This article treats long term average impulse control problems with running costs in the case that the underlying process is a L\'evy process. Under quite general conditions we characterize the value of the control problem as the value of a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-15 Sören Christensen , Tobias Sohr

This paper provides an exact simulation algorithm for the sampling from the joint law of the first-passage time, the undershoot and the overshoot of a subordinator crossing a non-increasing boundary. We prove that the running time of this…