相关论文: Probability of hitting a distant point for the vot…

We study the second order of the number of excursions of a simple random walk with a bias that drives a return toward the origin along the axes introduced by P. Andreoletti and P. Debs \cite{AndDeb3}. This is a crucial step toward deriving…

We study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum interpoint distance of random points in a $d$-dimensional set with a unique diameter and a smooth boundary at the poles. Instead of investigating only a fixed number of $n$ points as $n$ tends…

We prove the invariance principle for a \emph{random Lorentz-gas} particle in 3 dimensions under the Boltzmann-Grad limit and simultaneous diffusive scaling. That is, for the trajectory of a point-like particle moving among infinite-mass,…

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the one point probability density for the inhomogeneous shock slopes in the turbulent regime, when a Gaussian fluctuating flux at origin derives the system. We also calculate the time dependence of the…

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

We consider a discrete-time voter model process on a set of nodes, each being in one of two states, either 0 or 1. In each time step, each node adopts the state of a randomly sampled neighbor according to sampling probabilities, referred to…

We study the thick points of branching Brownian motion and branching random walk with a critical branching mechanism, focusing on the critical dimension $d = 4$. We determine the exponent governing the probability to hit a small ball with…

Given a set C in R^d, let p(C) be the probability that a random d-dimensional unimodular lattice, chosen according to Haar measure on SL(d,Z)\SL(d,R), is disjoint from C\{0}. For special convex sets C we prove bounds on p(C) which are sharp…

We consider the probability distributions of values in the complex plane attained by Fourier sums of the form \sum_{j=1}^n a_j exp(-2\pi i j nu) /sqrt{n} when the frequency nu is drawn uniformly at random from an interval of length 1. If…

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

Consider an election between two candidates in which the voters' choices are random and independent and the probability of a voter choosing the first candidate is $p>1/2$. Condorcet's Jury Theorem which he derived from the weak law of large…

In the $R$-spread out, $d$-dimensional voter model, each site $x$ of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ has state (or 'opinion') 0 or 1 and, with rate 1, updates its opinion by copying that of some site $y$ chosen uniformly at random among all sites within…

We study the limit behaviour of a class of random walk models taking values in the $d$-dimensional unit standard simplex, $d\ge 1$, defined as follows. From an interior point $z$, the process chooses one of the $d+1$ vertices of the…

The Voter model is a well-studied stochastic process that models the invasion of a novel trait $A$ (e.g., a new opinion, social meme, genetic mutation, magnetic spin) in a network of individuals (agents, people, genes, particles) carrying…

We show that in the Lorentz mirror model, at any density of mirrors, the probability of a particle starting at the origin to reach distance n is at least 1/(2n+1).

We consider the simple random walk on the Euclidean lattice, in three dimensions and higher, conditioned to visit fewer sites than expected, when the deviation from the mean scales like the mean. The associated large deviation principle was…

Results from Direct Numerical Simulations of particle relative dispersion in three dimensional homogeneous and isotropic turbulence at Reynolds number $Re_\lambda \sim 300$ are presented. We study point-like passive tracers and heavy…

We consider a type of pull voting suitable for discrete numeric opinions which can be compared on a linear scale, for example, 1 ('disagree strongly'), 2 ('disagree'), $\ldots,$ 5 ('agree strongly'). On observing the opinion of a random…

The Condorcet criterion (CC) is a classical and well-accepted criterion for voting. Unfortunately, it is incompatible with many other desiderata including participation (Par), half-way monotonicity (HM), Maskin monotonicity (MM), and…

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…