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We study the asymptotic probability that a random walk with heavy-tailed increments crosses a high boundary on a random time interval. We use new techniques to extend results of Asmussen [Ann. Appl. Probab. 8 (1998) 354-374] to completely…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Zbigniew Palmowski , Stan Zachary

Let $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed elements of the general linear group $GL(d, \mathbb R)$. Consider the random walk $G_n: = g_n \ldots g_1$. Under suitable conditions, we establish…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-02 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

We consider random walks with finite second moment which drifts to $-\infty$ and have heavy tail. We focus on the events when the minimum and the final value of this walk belong to some compact set. We first specify the associated…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

Statistics of molecular random walks in a fluid is considered with the help of the Bogolyubov equation for generating functional of distribution functions. An invariance group of solutions to this equation as functions of the fluid density…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

Given a random walk $(S_n)$ with typical step distributed according to some fixed law and a fixed parameter $p \in (0,1)$, the associated positively step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time process which performs at each step, with…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-19 Marco Bertenghi , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

We introduce a multidimensional walk with memory and random tendency. The asymptotic behaviour is characterized, proving a law of large numbers and showing a phase transition from diffusive to superdiffusive regimes. In first case, we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-09 Manuel González-Navarrete

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

We study the evolution of a random walker on a conservative dynamic random environment composed of independent particles performing simple symmetric random walks, generalizing results of [16] to higher dimensions and more general transition…

The goal of these notes is to fill some gaps in the literature about random walks in the Cauchy domain of attraction, which has been in many cases left aside because of its additional technical difficulties. We prove here several results in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-14 Quentin Berger

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-26 Bohan Chen , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

A step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time non-Markovian process with long range memory. At each step, with a fixed probability p, the positively step-reinforced random walk repeats one of its preceding steps chosen uniformly at…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Zhishui Hu , Yiting Zhang

The distribution of the hypervolume $V$ and surface $\partial V$ of convex hulls of (multiple) random walks in higher dimensions are determined numerically, especially containing probabilities far smaller than $P = 10^{-1000}$ to estimate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-12-06 Hendrik Schawe , Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar

Suppose $ E$ is a space with a null-recurrent Markov kernel $ P$. Furthermore, suppose there are infinite particles with variable weights on $ E$ performing a random walk following $ P$. Let $ X_{t}$ be a weighted functional of the position…

概率论 · 数学 2010-12-01 Souvik Ghosh

The prediction and control of rare events is an important task in disciplines that range from physics and biology, to economics and social science. The Big Jump principle deals with a peculiar aspect of the mechanism that drives rare…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-02-27 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

Let $(Z_n)_{n\in\N}$ be a $d$-dimensional {\it random walk in random scenery}, i.e., $Z_n=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}Y(S_k)$ with $(S_k)_{k\in\N_0}$ a random walk in $\Z^d$ and $(Y(z))_{z\in\Z^d}$ an i.i.d. scenery, independent of the walk. The…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Nina Gantert , Wolfgang König , Zhan Shi

We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-30 S. I. Denisov , S. B. Yuste , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz , K. Lindenberg

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers