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The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

The article is devoted to a new type of measures which are hypercomplex generalizations of Gaussian-type measures. The considered such measures are related with solutions of high order hyperbolic PDEs and related Markov processes. Their…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-18 S. V. Ludkowski

The Gaussian product inequality is an important conjecture concerning the moments of Gaussian random vectors. While all attempts to prove the Gaussian product inequality in full generality have been unsuccessful to date, numerous partial…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-26 Dominic Edelmann , Donald Richards , Thomas Royen

Gaussian distributions are plentiful in applications dealing in uncertainty quantification and diffusivity. They furthermore stand as important special cases for frameworks providing geometries for probability measures, as the resulting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Anton Mallasto , Augusto Gerolin , Hà Quang Minh

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou

The paper contains results in three areas: First we present a general estimate for tail probabilities of Gaussian quadratic forms with known expectation and variance. Thereafter we analyze the distribution of norms of complex Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-20 Georg Berschneider , Björn Böttcher

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell

Concerning systematic effects, the recommendation given in the GUM is to correct for them, but unfortunately no detailed information is available, how to do this. This publication will show, how systematic measurement deviations can be…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-02-16 Michael Krystek

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

We report an inconsistency found in probability theory (also referred to as measure-theoretic probability). For probability measures induced by real-valued random variables, we deduce an "equality" such that one side of the "equality" is a…

综合数学 · 数学 2017-03-01 Guang-Liang Li , Victor O. K. Li

We use rescaled Gaussian processes as prior models for functional parameters in nonparametric statistical models. We show how the rate of contraction of the posterior distributions depends on the scaling factor. In particular, we exhibit…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

We prove that uniform random triangulations whose genus is proportional to their size $n$ have diameter of order $\log n$ with high probability. We also show that in such triangulations, the distances between most pairs of points differ by…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-08 Thomas Budzinski , Guillaume Chapuy , Baptiste Louf

This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 A. B. Dieker , B. Yakir

In this article, we construct semiparametrically efficient estimators of linear functionals of a probability measure in the presence of side information using an easy empirical likelihood approach. We use estimated constraint functions and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-01 Shan Wang , Hanxiang Peng

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

The Gromov-Wasserstein distances were proposed a few years ago to compare distributions which do not lie in the same space. In particular, they offer an interesting alternative to the Wasserstein distances for comparing probability measures…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-19 Antoine Salmona , Julie Delon , Agnès Desolneux

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi
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