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In this paper, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic differential equations driven by stochastic integrals in one dimension. The result can be proved with a minimal use of rough path theory, and this implies the LDP…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-03 Ryoji Takano

We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 T. B. Lysetskyi , Ya. I. Yeleiko

Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

Consider a supercritical branching random walk in a time-inhomogeneous random environment. We impose a selection (called barrier) on survival in the following way. The position of the barrier may depend on the generation and the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-02 You Lv

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

We study sample-path large deviations for L\'evy processes and random walks with heavy-tailed jump-size distributions that are of Weibull type. Our main results include an extended form of an LDP (large deviations principle) in the $J_1$…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-06 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

We consider the Markovian supermarket model with growing choices, where jobs arrive at rate $n\lambda_n$ and each of $n$ parallel servers processes jobs in its queue at rate $1$. Each incoming job joins the shortest among $d_n \in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-13 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

We consider large random trees under Gibbs distributions and prove a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the distribution of degrees of vertices of the tree. The LDP rate function is given explicitly. An immediate consequence is a Law of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-13 Yuri Bakhtin , Christine Heitsch

The theory of finite-size scaling explains how the singular behavior of thermodynamic quantities in the critical point of a phase transition emerges when the size of the system becomes infinite. Usually, this theory is presented in a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-02-08 Alvaro Corral , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

The Large Deviations Principle (LDP) is verified for a homogeneous diffusion process with respect to a Brownian motion $B_t$, $$ X^\eps_t=x_0+\int_0^tb(X^\eps_s)ds+ \eps\int_0^t\sigma(X^\eps_s)dB_s, $$ where $b(x)$ and $\sigma(x)$ are are…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-24 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

We consider the critical Galton-Watson process with overlapping generations stemming from a single founder. Assuming that both the variance of the offspring number and the average generation length are finite, we establish the convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-06 Serik Sagitov

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

In this work, we establish the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviations principle (LDP) of the stochastic Cahn--Hilliard equation with small noise, which implies the one-point LDP. Further, we give the one-point LDP of the spatial finite…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-06 Diancong Jin , Derui Sheng

Consider a catalytic super-Brownian motion $X=X^\Gamma$ with finite variance branching. Here `catalytic' means that branching of the reactant $X$ is only possible in the presence of some catalyst. Our intrinsic example of a catalyst is a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Donald A. Dawson , Klaus Fleischmann , Carl Mueller

We formulate large deviations principle (LDP) for diffusion pair $(X^\epsilon,\xi^\epsilon)=(X_t^\epsilon,\xi_t^\epsilon)$, where first component has a small diffusion parameter while the second is ergodic Markovian process with fast time.…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. Liptser

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa