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Effect size measures and visualization techniques aimed at maximizing the interpretability and comparability of results from statistical models have long been of great importance and are recently again receiving increased attention in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Hannah Kümpel , Sabine Hoffmann

Designing scalable estimation algorithms is a core challenge in modern statistics. Here we introduce a framework to address this challenge based on parallel approximants, which yields estimators with provable properties that operate on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-04 Aritra Chakravorty , William S. Cleveland , Patrick J. Wolfe

In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-20 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein , Tomer Levy

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Multifractal analysis of multiplicative random cascades is revisited within the framework of {\em mixed asymptotics}. In this new framework, statistics are estimated over a sample which size increases as the resolution scale (or the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-05 Emmanuel Bacry , Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann , Jean-Francois Muzy

In the random-effects model of meta-analysis a canonical representation of the restricted likelihood function is obtained. This representation relates the mean effect and the heterogeneity variance estimation problems. An explicit form of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Andrew L. Rukhin

This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

While calibration of probabilistic predictions has been widely studied, this paper rather addresses calibration of likelihood functions. This has been discussed, especially in biometrics, in cases with only two exhaustive and mutually…

Often the rows (cases, objects) of a dataset have weights. For instance, the weight of a case may reflect the number of times it has been observed, or its reliability. For analyzing such data many rowwise weighted techniques are available,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Peter J. Rousseeuw

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

We introduce an optimization model for maximum likelihood-type estimation (M-estimation) that generalizes a large class of existing statistical models, including Huber's concomitant M-estimator, Owen's Huber/Berhu concomitant estimator, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Patrick L. Combettes , Christian L. Müller

Smoothness of the subdiagonals of the Cholesky factor of large covariance matrices is closely related to the degrees of nonstationarity of autoregressive models for time series and longitudinal data. Heuristically, one expects for a nearly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-23 Aramayis Dallakyan , Mohsen Pourahmadi

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

The hierarchical matrix framework partitions matrices into subblocks that are either small or of low numerical rank, enabling linear storage complexity and efficient matrix-vector multiplication. This work focuses on the $H^2$-matrix format…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-02 Anna Yesypenko , Per-Gunnar Martinsson

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Soft-thresholding is a sparse modeling method that is typically applied to wavelet denoising in statistical signal processing and analysis. It has a single parameter that controls a threshold level on wavelet coefficients and,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-01 Katsuyuki Hagiwara

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Reward factorization personalizes large language models (LLMs) by decomposing rewards into shared basis functions and user-specific weights. Yet, existing methods estimate user weights from scarce data in isolation and as deterministic…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Gyuseok Lee , Wonbin Kweon , Zhenrui Yue , SeongKu Kang , Jiawei Han , Dong Wang

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang