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Perfect sampling is a technique that uses coupling arguments to provide a sample from the stationary distribution of a Markov chain in a finite time without ever computing the distribution. This technique is very efficient if all the events…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2015-03-17 Ana Bušić , Bruno Gaujal , Furcy Pin

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

Many applications in the field of statistics require Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Determining appropriate starting values and run lengths can be both analytically and empirically challenging. A desire to overcome these problems has led…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-09 James M. Flegal , Radu Herbei

In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-12-11 Christina E. Lee , Asuman Ozdaglar , Devavrat Shah

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

We prove that uniqueness of the stationary chain, or equivalently, of the $g$-measure, compatible with an attractive regular probability kernel is equivalent to either one of the following two assertions for this chain: (1) it is a finitary…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Sandro Gallo , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

In this work, sample-based observability of linear discrete-time systems is studied. That is, we consider the case where the system output measurements are not available at every time instance. It is shown that some discrete-time systems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-26 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We consider the Markov chain approximations for singular stable-like processes. First we obtain properties of some Markov chains. Then we construct the approximating Markov chains and give a necessary condition for weak convergence of these…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-11 Fangjun Xu

Adaptive Markov chains are an important class of Monte Carlo methods for sampling from probability distributions. The time evolution of adaptive algorithms depends on past samples, and thus these algorithms are non-Markovian. Although there…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-02 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

We consider the computational task of sampling a bit string $x$ from a distribution $\pi(x)=|\langle x|\psi\rangle|^2$, where $\psi$ is the unique ground state of a local Hamiltonian $H$. Our main result describes a direct link between the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-11-09 Sergey Bravyi , Giuseppe Carleo , David Gosset , Yinchen Liu

We present a novel approach to quantizing Markov chains. The approach is based on the Markov chain coupling method, which is frequently used to prove fast mixing. Given a particular coupling, e.g., a grand coupling, we construct a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-12-24 Kristan Temme , Pawel Wocjan

Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-28 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Bailey showed that the general pointwise forecasting for stationary and ergodic time series has a negative solution. However, it is known that for Markov chains the problem can be solved. Morvai showed that there is a stopping time sequence…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

It was recently proposed in https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.94.043322 [Herdeiro & Doyon Phys.,Rev.,E (2016)] a numerical method showing a precise sampling of the infinite plane 2d critical Ising model for finite…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-07-19 Victor Herdeiro

In this work, we study how to efficiently obtain perfect samples from a discrete distribution $\mathcal{D}$ given access only to pairwise comparisons of elements of its support. Specifically, we assume access to samples $(x, S)$, where $S$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Dimitris Fotakis , Alkis Kalavasis , Christos Tzamos

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock
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