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Studying the micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps is an important problem for financial regulations and investment decisions. In this study, we provide a new framework to study pre-jump trading behaviors based on multivariate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-01 Ao Kong , Robert Azencott , Hongliang Zhu , Xindan Li

Understanding the structure of financial markets deals with suitably determining the functional relation between financial variables. In this respect, important variables are the trading activity, defined here as the number of trades $N$,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-10-16 Mathias Pohl , Alexander Ristig , Walter Schachermayer , Ludovic Tangpi

In this paper, we consider daily financial data of a collection of different stock market indices, exchange rates, and interest rates, and we analyze their multi-scaling properties by estimating a simple specification of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Ruipeng Liu , T. Di Matteo , Thomas Lux

The gain-loss asymmetry, observed in the inverse statistics of stock indices is present for logarithmic return levels that are over $2\%$, and it is the result of the non-Pearson type auto-correlations in the index. These non-Pearson type…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-08-24 Bulcsú Sándor , Ingve Simonsen , Bálint Zsolt Nagy , Zoltán Néda

In setting up a stochastic description of the time evolution of a financial index, the challenge consists in devising a model compatible with all stylized facts emerging from the analysis of financial time series and providing a reliable…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

In the past few decades considerable effort has been expended in characterizing and modeling financial time series. A number of stylized facts have been identified, and volatility clustering or the tendency toward persistence has emerged as…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Kan Chen , C. Jayaprakash , Baosheng Yuan

Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-07-16 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Stefan Bornholdt , Yoshi Fujiwara

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) relates a well-diversified stock portfolio to a benchmark portfolio. We insert size effect in CAPM, capturing the observation that small stocks have higher risk and return than large stocks, on…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-04 Abraham Atsiwo , Andrey Sarantsev

This article investigates the use of Machine Learning and Deep Learning models in multivariate time series analysis within financial markets. It compares small and big data approaches, focusing on their distinct challenges and the benefits…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Grégory Bournassenko

We investigated distributions of short term price trends for high frequency stock market data. A number of trends as a function of their lengths was measured. We found that such a distribution does not fit to results following from an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Paweł Sieczka , Janusz A. Hołyst

Trading volume movement prediction is the key in a variety of financial applications. Despite its importance, there is few research on this topic because of its requirement for comprehensive understanding of information from different…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-26 Liang Zhao , Wei Li , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , YunfangWu , Xu Sun

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

We present evidence, that if a large enough set of high resolution stock market data is analyzed, certain analogies with physics -- such as scaling and universality -- fail to capture the full complexity of such data. Despite earlier…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Janos Kertesz , Zoltan Eisler

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties of time series of stock market indices (SMIs) of developing economies of Western Balkans, and have compared the results we have obtained with the results from more developed economies. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-14 Darko Sarvan , Djordje Stratimirovic , Suzana Blesic , Vladimir Miljkovic

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The statistical properties of the increments x(t+T) - x(t) of a financial time series depend on the time resolution T on which the increments are considered. A non-parametric approach is used to study the scale dependence of the empirical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Rama Cont

The dynamics of the equal-time cross-correlation matrix of multivariate financial time series is explored by examination of the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding time windows. Empirical results for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-02-02 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

A microscopic model of financial markets is considered, consisting of many interacting agents (spins) with global coupling and discrete-time thermal bath dynamics, similar to random Ising systems. The interactions between agents change…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-08-27 Andrzej Krawiecki , Janusz A. Holyst , and Dirk Helbing