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This paper concerns the Bayesian approach to inverse acoustic scattering problems of inferring the position and shape of a sound-soft obstacle from phaseless far-field data generated by point source waves. To improve the convergence rate,…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-08-23 Zhipeng Yang , Xinping Gui , Ju Ming , Guanghui Hu

We study the Electrical Impedance Tomography Bayesian inverse problem for recovering the conductivity given noisy measurements of the voltage on some boundary surface electrodes. The uncertain conductivity depends linearly on a countable…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-16 Quang Huy Pham , Viet Ha Hoang

In the paper, we develop an ensemble-based implicit sampling method for Bayesian inverse problems. For Bayesian inference, the iterative ensemble smoother (IES) and implicit sampling are integrated to obtain importance ensemble samples,…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-12-04 Yuming Ba , Lijian Jiang

Prediction markets are often described as mechanisms that ``aggregate information'' into prices, yet the mapping from dispersed private information to observed market histories is typically noisy, endogenous, and shaped by heterogeneous and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-28 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Camilo Monsalve Maya , Lachlan Breakey

We study the problem of finding probability densities that match given European call option prices. To allow prior information about such a density to be taken into account, we generalise the algorithm presented in Neri and Schneider (2011)…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-09-12 C. Neri , L. Schneider

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach for the noise reduction of a given chaotic time series contaminated by dynamical noise, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). The underlying unknown noise process (possibly) exhibits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

The paper focuses on minimum mean square error (MMSE) Bayesian estimation for a Gaussian source impaired by additive Middleton's Class-A impulsive noise. In addition to the optimal Bayesian estimator, the paper considers also the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Paolo Banelli

In this work, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise. Specifically, we consider noisy discrete time observations from a stochastic differential equation and develop a novel computational method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Volatility estimation based on high-frequency data is key to accurately measure and control the risk of financial assets. A L\'{e}vy process with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise is considered one of the simplest, yet…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-12 Qi Wang , José E. Figueroa-López , Todd Kuffner

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

In Neri and Schneider (2012) we presented a method to recover the Maximum Entropy Density (MED) inferred from prices of call and digital options on a set of n strikes. To find the MED we need to numerically invert a one-dimensional function…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-12-19 Cassio Neri , Lorenz Schneider

This paper proposed a bias-compensated normalized maximum correntropy criterion (BCNMCC) algorithm charactered by its low steady-state misalignment for system identification with noisy input in an impulsive output noise environment. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-27 Wentao Ma , Dongqiao Zheng , Yuanhao Li , Zhiyu Zhang , Badong Chen

Probabilistic encoding introduces Gaussian noise into neural networks, enabling a smooth transition from deterministic to uncertain states and enhancing generalization ability. However, the randomness of Gaussian noise distorts point-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Pengjiu Xia , Yidian Huang , Wenchao Wei , Yuwen Tan

There are many models, often called unnormalized models, whose normalizing constants are not calculated in closed form. Maximum likelihood estimation is not directly applicable to unnormalized models. Score matching, contrastive divergence…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-27 Masatoshi Uehara , Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

In this tutorial we review the essential arguments behing entropic inference. We focus on the epistemological notion of information and its relation to the Bayesian beliefs of rational agents. The problem of updating from a prior to a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Ariel Caticha

Ratings of a user to most items in recommender systems are usually missing not at random (MNAR), largely because users are free to choose which items to rate. To achieve unbiased learning of the prediction model under MNAR data, three…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-06-26 Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Wenjie Wang , Hao Wang , Fuli Feng , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Parameter identification problems in partial differential equations (PDEs) consist in determining one or more functional coefficient in a PDE. In this article, the Bayesian nonparametric approach to such problems is considered. Focusing on…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-24 Matteo Giordano