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The key issue in importance sampling is the choice of the alternative sampling distribution, which is often chosen from the exponential tilt family of the underlying distribution. However, when the problem exhibits certain kind of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-15 Hui Wang , Xiang Zhou

The cross-entropy (CE) method is a popular stochastic method for optimization due to its simplicity and effectiveness. Designed for rare-event simulations where the probability of a target event occurring is relatively small, the CE-method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-22 Robert J. Moss

The Improved Cross-Entropy (ICE) method is a powerful tool for estimating failure probabilities in reliability analysis. Its core idea is to approximate the optimal importance-sampling density by minimizing the forward Kullback-Leibler…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-10 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

Recently, Giles et al. [14] proved that the efficiency of the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for evaluating Down-and-Out barrier options for a diffusion process $(X_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with globally Lipschitz coefficients, can be improved…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-17 Mouna Ben Derouich , Ahmed Kebaier

In this paper, a safe and learning-based control framework for model predictive control (MPC) is proposed to optimize nonlinear systems with a non-differentiable objective function under uncertain environmental disturbances. The control…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Lei Zheng , Rui Yang , Zhixuan Wu , Jiesen Pan , Hui Cheng

The purpose of this note is to show how the method of maximum entropy in the mean (MEM) may be used to improve parametric estimation when the measurements are corrupted by large level of noise. The method is developed in the context on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Henryk Gzyl , Enrique ter Horst

This study proposes a novel approach to quantifying uncertainties of constitutive relations inferred from noisy experimental data using inverse modelling. We focus on electrochemical systems in which charged species (e.g., Lithium ions) are…

化学物理 · 物理学 2020-03-12 Athinthra Sethurajan , Sergey Krachkovskiy , Gillian Goward , Bartosz Protas

Information theoretic active learning has been widely studied for probabilistic models. For simple regression an optimal myopic policy is easily tractable. However, for other tasks and with more complex models, such as classification with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-12-30 Neil Houlsby , Ferenc Huszár , Zoubin Ghahramani , Máté Lengyel

We present the marginal unbiased score expansion (MUSE) method, an algorithm for generic high-dimensional hierarchical Bayesian inference. MUSE performs approximate marginalization over arbitrary non-Gaussian latent parameter spaces,…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-06-01 Marius Millea , Uros Seljak

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are widely used to cluster observations. However, one major drawback of the approach is that the estimated partition often presents unbalanced clusters' frequencies with only a few dominating clusters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

A density estimation method in a Bayesian nonparametric framework is presented when recorded data are not coming directly from the distribution of interest, but from a length biased version. From a Bayesian perspective, efforts to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-23 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Theodoros Nicoleris , Stephen G. Walker

This paper suggests a nonparametric scheme to find the sparse solution of the underdetermined system of linear equations in the presence of unknown impulsive or non-Gaussian noise. This approach is robust against any variations of the noise…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2012-01-16 Mahmoud Ramezani Mayiami , Babak Seyfe

Objective: Sparse Bayesian learning provides an effective scheme to solve the high-dimensional problem in brain signal decoding. However, traditional assumptions regarding data distributions such as Gaussian and binomial are potentially…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

We consider inverse problems estimating distributed parameters from indirect noisy observations through discretization of continuum models described by partial differential or integral equations. It is well understood that the errors…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-09 Albero Bocchinfuso , Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Bayesian methods are a popular choice for statistical inference in small-data regimes due to the regularization effect induced by the prior. In the context of density estimation, the standard nonparametric Bayesian approach is to target the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes , Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

The minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion has been verified as a powerful approach for non-Gaussian signal processing and robust machine learning. However, the implementation of MEE on robust classification is rather a vacancy in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Natsue Yoshimura , Yasuharu Koike

In inverse problems, the parameters of a model are estimated based on observations of the model response. The Bayesian approach is powerful for solving such problems; one formulates a prior distribution for the parameter state that is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Max Ehre , Rafael Flock , Martin Fußeder , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Discrete optimal transportation problems arise in various contexts in engineering, the sciences and the social sciences. Often the underlying cost criterion is unknown, or only partly known, and the observed optimal solutions are corrupted…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-13 Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram