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We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

Background: For complex financial systems, the negative and positive return-volatility correlations, i.e., the so-called leverage and anti-leverage effects, are particularly important for the understanding of the price dynamics. However,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-07-22 Jun-jie Chen , Bo Zheng , Lei Tan

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

Stochastic volatility models describe asset prices $S_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $\sigma_t$. Here, we quantify how much information about $\sigma_t$ can be inferred from asset prices…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-12-29 Nils Bertschinger , Oliver Pfante

We consider a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving a stochastic forcing term in the drift, as a solution of a linear stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. For such process we specify mean and…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-25 Giacomo Ascione , Yuliya Mishura , Enrica Pirozzi

We introduce a tractable multi-currency model with stochastic volatility and correlated stochastic interest rates that takes into account the smile in the FX market and the evolution of yield curves. The pricing of vanilla options on FX…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-03-13 Alessandro Gnoatto , Martino Grasselli

This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz's definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-17 Victor Olkhov

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

In industrial applications it is quite common to use stochastic volatility models driven by semi-martingale Markov volatility processes. However, in order to fit exactly market volatilities, these models are usually extended by adding a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Enrico Dall'Acqua , Riccardo Longoni , Andrea Pallavicini

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

Trading styles can be classified into either trend-following or mean-reverting. If the net trading style is trend-following the traded asset is more likely to move in the same direction it moved previously (the opposite is true if the net…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-20 Lawrence Middleton , James Dodd , Simone Rijavec

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

In this paper, we analyze the use of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model dynamical systems subjected to bounded noisy perturbations. In order to discuss the main characteristics of this new approach we consider some basic models in…

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

We propose a non-parametric extension with leverage functions to the Andersen commodity curve model. We calibrate this model to market data for WTI and NG including option skew at the standard maturities. While the model can be calibrated…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-16 Orcan Ogetbil , Bernhard Hientzsch

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a stochastic process with long-range correlated absolute returns. We find that the model is…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 M. Serva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn