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This paper investigates the dynamics of risk transmission in cryptocurrency markets and proposes a novel framework for volatility forecasting. The framework uncovers two key empirical facts: the asymmetric amplification of volatility…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-31 Sicheng Fu , Fangfang Zhu , Xiangdong Liu

As the increasing application of AI in finance, this paper will leverage AI algorithms to examine tail risk and develop a model to alter tail risk to promote the stability of US financial markets, and enhance the resilience of the US…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-08 Zong Ke , Yuchen Yin

Stablecoins serve as the fundamental infrastructure for Decentralised Finance (DeFi), acting as the primary bridge between fiat currencies and the digital asset ecosystem. While peg stability is well-documented, the structural role…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Elliot Jones , Toshiko Matsui , William Knottenbelt

Stablecoins have emerged as a significant component of global financial infrastructure, with aggregate market capitalization surpassing USD250 billion in 2025. Their increasing integration into payment and settlement systems has…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-14 Hongzhe Wen , R. S. M. Lau

We develop a model of stable assets, including non-custodial stablecoins backed by cryptocurrencies. Such stablecoins are popular methods for bootstrapping price stability within public blockchain settings. We derive fundamental results…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-03-31 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

In the wake of financial crises, stablecoins are gaining adoption among digital currencies. We discuss how stablecoins help reduce the volatility of cryptocurrencies by surveying different types of stablecoins and their stability…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-03 Ayten Kahya , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Seokgu Yun

The price volatility of cryptocurrencies is often cited as a major hindrance to their wide-scale adoption. Consequently, during the last two years, multiple so called stablecoins have surfaced---cryptocurrencies focused on maintaining…

An algorithmic stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency managed by algorithms (i.e., smart contracts) to dynamically minimize the volatility of its price relative to a specific form of asset, e.g., US dollar. As algorithmic stablecoins have…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Wenqi Zhao , Hui Li , Yuming Yuan

Stablecoins - crypto tokens whose value is pegged to a real-world asset such as the US Dollar - are an important component of the DeFi ecosystem as they mitigate the impact of token price volatility. In crypto-backed stablecoins, the peg is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Bretislav Hajek , Daniel Reijsbergen , Anwitaman Datta , Jussi Keppo

We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Stablecoins are one of the most widely capitalized type of cryptocurrency. However, their risks vary significantly according to their design and are often poorly understood. We seek to provide a sound foundation for stablecoin theory, with…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-30 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Dominik Harz , Lewis Gudgeon , Jun-You Liu , Andreea Minca

In May 2022, an apparent speculative attack, followed by market panic, led to the precipitous downfall of UST, one of the most popular stablecoins at that time. However, UST is not the only stablecoin to have been depegged in the past.…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-07-26 Yujin Kwon , Kornrapat Pongmala , Kaihua Qin , Ariah Klages-Mundt , Philipp Jovanovic , Christine Parlour , Arthur Gervais , Dawn Song

Stablecoins have become a foundational component of the digital asset ecosystem, with their market capitalization exceeding 230 billion USD as of May 2025. As fiat-referenced and programmable assets, stablecoins provide low-latency,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-07 Luyao Zhang

Algorithmic stablecoins promise decentralized monetary stability by maintaining a target peg through programmatic reserve management. Yet, their reserve controllers remain vulnerable to regime-blind optimization, calibrating risk parameters…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-02-02 Shengwei You , Aditya Joshi , Andrey Kuehlkamp , Jarek Nabrzyski

Stablecoins have become significant assets in modern finance, with a market capitalization exceeding USD 246 billion (May 2025). Yet, despite their systemic importance, a comprehensive and risk-oriented understanding of crucial aspects like…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Shengchen Ling , Yuefeng Du , Yajin Zhou , Lei Wu , Cong Wang , Xiaohua Jia , Houmin Yan

The `Black Thursday' crisis in cryptocurrency markets demonstrated deleveraging risks in over-collateralized non-custodial stablecoins. We develop a stochastic model that helps explain deleveraging crises in these over-collateralized…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-08-02 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

We document the first systematic evidence of negative spillover effects in crypto asset returns across blockchains. Using on-chain data from Ethereum, Solana, Binance Smart Chain, Arbitrum, and Avalanche (2022-2025), we show that surges on…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2026-03-02 Mengzhong Ma , Te Bao , Yonggang Wen

With market capitalization exceeding USD250 billion by mid-2025, stablecoins have evolved from a crypto-focused innovation into a vital component of the global monetary structure. This paper identifies the characteristics of stablecoins…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-14 Hongzhe Wen , Songbai Li , R. S. M. Lau , Jamie Zhang

This paper distinguishes between risk resonance and risk diversification relationships in the cryptocurrency market based on the newly developed asymmetric breakpoint approach, and analyzes the risk propagation mechanism among…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-19 Wenjie Lan
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