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This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-18 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly-explosive first-order autoregressive model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly-explosive AR(1) process. We prove that the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-01 Hui Jiang , Mingming Yu , Guangyu Yang

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

We consider a family of multivariate autoregressive stochastic sequences that restart when hit a neighbourhood of the origin, and study their distributional limits when the autoregressive coefficient tends to one, the noise scaling…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-20 Sergey Foss , Matthias Schulte

Linear Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models where the innovations could be unconditionally heteroscedastic and serially dependent are considered. The volatility structure is deterministic and quite general, including breaks or trending…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-07-09 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

In this work we study the averaging principle for non-autonomous slow-fast systems of stochastic differential equations. In particular in the first part we prove the averaging principle assuming the sublinearity, the Lipschitzianity and the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Filippo de Feo

A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, nearly non-stationary process, unit root process, mildly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-15 Jianfei Shen , Tianxiao Pang

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

This paper introduces and analyzes a framework that accommodates general heterogeneity in regression modeling. It demonstrates that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated using the OLS and time-varying OLS…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Liudas Giraitis , George Kapetanios , Yufei Li , Alexia Ventouri

We establish the asymptotic theory in quantile autoregression when the model parameter is specified with respect to moderate deviations from the unit boundary of the form (1 + c / k) with a convergence sequence that diverges at a rate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-22 Christis Katsouris

A systematic approach to finding variational approximation in an otherwise intractable non-conjugate model is to exploit the general principle of convex duality by minorizing the marginal likelihood that renders the problem tractable. While…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-27 Indrajit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

We study theoretical properties of regularized robust M-estimators, applicable when data are drawn from a sparse high-dimensional linear model and contaminated by heavy-tailed distributions and/or outliers in the additive errors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh

We present a statistical equilibrium model of self-organization in a class of focusing, nonintegrable nonlinear Schrodinger (NLS) equations. The theory predicts that the asymptotic-time behavior of the NLS system is characterized by the…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Richard Jordan , Christophe Josserand

Multiscale stochastic volatility models have been developed as an efficient way to capture the principle effects on derivative pricing and portfolio optimization of randomly varying volatility. The recent book Fouque, Papanicolaou, Sircar…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-09-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Matthew Lorig , Ronnie Sircar

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem and estabilish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of incompressible second fluids. The weak convergence method inreoduced by [4] plays an important role.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-01 Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang , Wuting Zheng

This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $\rho(A)\leq…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Yao Zheng , Guang Cheng
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