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We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-03-18 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

In this paper, we propose a new interpretation of local limit theorems for univariate and multivariate distributions on lattices. We show that - given a local limit theorem in the standard sense - the distributions are approximated well by…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-09 Michael Fleermann , Werner Kirsch , Gabor Toth

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

The focusing Nonlinear Schr\"odinger (NLS) equation is the simplest universal model describing the modulation instability (MI) of quasi monochromatic waves in weakly nonlinear media, and MI is considered the main physical mechanism for the…

可精确求解与可积系统 · 物理学 2020-03-11 F. Coppini , P. G. Grinevich , P. M. Santini

Local stochastic volatility refers to a popular model class in applied mathematical finance that allows for "calibration-on-the-fly", typically via a particle method, derived from a formal McKean-Vlasov equation. Well-posedness of this…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-13 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Jourdain , Thomas Wagenhofer , Alexandre Zhou

This paper considers highly persistent time series that are subject to nonlinearities in the form of censoring or an occasionally binding constraint, such as are regularly encountered in macroeconomics. A tractable candidate model for such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-13 Anna Bykhovskaya , James A. Duffy

We study the dynamics of the normal implied volatility in a local volatility model, using a small-time expansion in powers of maturity T. At leading order in this expansion, the asymptotics of the normal implied volatility is similar, up to…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-19 Viorel Costeanu , Dan Pirjol

We study the limit of the joint distribution of a multidimensional Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) process and its quadratic covariation process when the stable index tends to two. Under a proper scaling, the GTS processes converges to a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-24 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mikio Hirokane

Based on discrete observations $X_0,X_{\Delta},\dots, X_{n\Delta}$ for $\Delta=n^{-\gamma}$ with $\gamma\in [0,1)$ of the null-recurrent dynamic $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dW_t$ with a Brownian motion $W$ and $\sigma(x)=\alpha\mathbb{1}\{x<\rho\} +…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-29 Johannes Brutsche , Sebastian Hahn , Angelika Rohde

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

The problem of test of fit for Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) processes with unconditionally heteroscedastic errors is studied. The volatility structure is deterministic but time-varying and allows for changes that are commonly observed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

Loss functions with non-isolated minima have emerged in several machine learning problems, creating a gap between theory and practice. In this paper, we formulate a new type of local convexity condition that is suitable to describe the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Taehee Ko , Xiantao Li

This paper establishes comprehensive stability results for quasi-variational inequalities (QVIs) under monotone perturbations of the governing operator. We prove strong convergence of both minimal and maximal solutions when sequences of…

泛函分析 · 数学 2025-12-16 M. H. M. Rashid

In this paper, we present the double smoothed nonparametric approach for infinitesimal conditional volatility of jump-diffusion model based on high frequency data. Under certain minimal conditions, we obtain the strong consistency and…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-14 Yuping Song

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Gradient Descent (GD) is a powerful workhorse of modern machine learning thanks to its scalability and efficiency in high-dimensional spaces. Its ability to find local minimisers is only guaranteed for losses with Lipschitz gradients, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-27 Lei Chen , Joan Bruna

We study the local convergence of diffusive mean-field systems, including Wasserstein gradient flows, min-max dynamics, and multi-species games. We establish exponential local convergence in $\chi^2$-divergence with sharp rates, under two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-13 Guillaume Wang , Lénaïc Chizat