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Electoral fraud often manifests itself as statistical anomalies in election results, yet its extent can rarely be reliably confirmed by other evidence. Here we report the complete results of municipal elections in the town of Vlasikha near…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Andrey Podlazov , Vadim Makarov

In order to address issues with manual vote counting during election procedures, this study intends to examine the viability of using advanced image processing techniques for automated voter counting. The study aims to shed light on how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Mir Faris , Syeda Aynul Karim , Md. Juniadul Islam

In this paper, a new method of detection of election fraud is proposed. This method is based on the calculation of the ratio of two standard normal random variables; estimation of parameters of obtained sample and comparison of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Ivan H. Krykun

Democratic societies are built around the principle of free and fair elections, that each citizen's vote should count equal. National elections can be regarded as large-scale social experiments, where people are grouped into usually large…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-06-28 Peter Klimek , Yuri Yegorov , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

Voter fraud in the United States is rare and the vote-counting system is robust against tampering, but there remains widespread distrust in the security of election infrastructure among the public. We consider statistical means of detecting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Christian Johnson

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman

The best way to reconcile political actors in a controversial electoral process is a full audit. When this is not possible, statistical tools may be useful for measuring the likelihood of the results. The Venezuelan recall referendum (2004)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-17 Raúl Jiménez

Complexity of voting manipulation is a prominent topic in computational social choice. In this work, we consider a two-stage voting manipulation scenario. First, a malicious party (an attacker) attempts to manipulate the election outcome in…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-06-18 Edith Elkind , Jiarui Gan , Svetlana Obraztsova , Zinovi Rabinovich , Alexandros A. Voudouris

We study the parameterized complexity of counting variants of Swap- and Shift-Bribery problems, focusing on the parameterizations by the number of swaps and the number of voters. We show experimentally that Swap-Bribery offers a new…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Piotr Faliszewski , Rolf Niedermeier

We study the multifaceted question of how to sample approval elections in a meaningful way. Our analysis aims to discern the properties of various statistical cultures (both established and new ones). Based on the map-of-elections framework…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Stanisław Szufa , Piotr Faliszewski , Łukasz Janeczko , Martin Lackner , Arkadii Slinko , Krzysztof Sornat , Nimrod Talmon

Voting can abstractly model any decision-making scenario and as such it has been extensively studied over the decades. Recently, the related literature has focused on quantifying the impact of utilizing only limited information in the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Evi Micha , Alexandros A. Voudouris

As granular data about elections and voters become available, redistricting simulation methods are playing an increasingly important role when legislatures adopt redistricting plans and courts determine their legality. These simulation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Benjamin Fifield , Kosuke Imai , Jun Kawahara , Christopher T. Kenny

Cheating in examinations is acknowledged by an increasing number of organizations to be widespread. We examine two different approaches to assess their effectiveness at detecting anomalous results, suggestive of collusion, using data taken…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-04-06 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

We show how hidden interesting subelections can be discovered in ordinal elections. An interesting subelection consists of a reasonably large set of voters and a reasonably large set of candidates such that the former have a consistent…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-07-29 Łukasz Janeczko , Jérôme Lang , Grzegorz Lisowski , Stanisław Szufa

In this paper, we experimentally compare major approval-based multiwinner voting rules. To this end, we define a measure of similarity between two equal-sized committees subject to a given election. Using synthetic elections coming from…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Piotr Faliszewski , Martin Lackner , Krzysztof Sornat , Stanisław Szufa

The last decade has witnessed an explosion on the computational power and a parallel increase of the access to large sets of data (the so called Big Data paradigm) which is enabling to develop brand new quantitative strategies underpinning…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-31 Lucas Lacasa , Juan Fernández-Gracia

We investigate whether one can determine from the transcripts of U.S. Congressional floor debates whether the speeches represent support of or opposition to proposed legislation. To address this problem, we exploit the fact that these…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2012-06-08 Matt Thomas , Bo Pang , Lillian Lee

There are many sources of error in counting votes: the apparent winner might not be the rightful winner. Hand tallies of the votes in a random sample of precincts can be used to test the hypothesis that a full manual recount would find a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-07-28 Philip B. Stark

Contributing to the toolbox for interpreting election results, we evaluate the robustness of election winners to random noise. We compare the robustness of different voting rules and evaluate the robustness of real-world election winners…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-08-30 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Piotr Faliszewski , Rolf Niedermeier

In this article, we study the effect of vector-valued interventions in votes under a binary voter model, where each voter expresses their vote as a $0-1$ valued random variable to choose between two candidates. We assume that the outcome is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Manit Paul , Rishideep Roy , Soudeep Deb
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